Bp Plc Adr Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BP Stock

USD 29.31 0.18 0.62%

BP PLC's odds of distress is under 6% at this time. It has tiny probability of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Probability of distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate BP PLC's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the BP PLC balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out BP PLC Piotroski F Score and BP PLC Altman Z Score analysis.

As of 11/30/2024, Market Cap is likely to grow to about 150.8 B, while Enterprise Value is likely to drop slightly above 130.1 B.

BP PLC ADR Company probability of distress Analysis

BP PLC's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current BP PLC Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 6%

Most of BP PLC's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, BP PLC ADR is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of BP PLC probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting BP PLC odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of BP PLC ADR financial health.

Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BP PLC. If investors know BP PLC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BP PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.95)

Dividend Share

0.305

Earnings Share

Revenue Per Share

17.5005

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.11)

The market value of BP PLC ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BP PLC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BP PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BP PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BP PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BP PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between BP PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BP PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BP PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BP PLC Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for BP PLC is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of BP PLC Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since BP PLC's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of BP PLC's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of BP PLC's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Common Stock	Intangible Assets	Net Receivables	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Property Plant Equipment	Current Deferred Revenue	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.82	0.62	0.67	0.88	-0.77	0.97	0.89	0.66	0.23	0.54	-0.03	0.7	0.49	0.74	0.07	-0.49	-0.17	0.08	-0.23	-0.16	0.09	0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.05	0.16
Total Stockholder Equity	0.82		0.36	0.96	0.78	-0.75	0.67	0.66	0.6	0.31	0.88	-0.29	0.39	0.19	0.84	-0.15	-0.85	0.32	-0.33	0.12	0.26	-0.24	-0.34	-0.33	0.43	-0.25	0.36
Net Debt	0.62	0.36		0.28	0.4	-0.69	0.68	0.34	0.86	0.04	0.03	-0.08	0.9	0.42	0.52	0.27	0.07	-0.35	0.33	-0.4	-0.55	0.71	0.32	-0.15	0.12	-0.12	0.22
Retained Earnings	0.67	0.96	0.28		0.63	-0.74	0.48	0.45	0.53	0.27	0.92	-0.31	0.3	0.02	0.82	-0.26	-0.88	0.45	-0.53	0.17	0.36	-0.31	-0.51	-0.53	0.6	-0.36	0.47
Accounts Payable	0.88	0.78	0.4	0.63		-0.61	0.84	0.86	0.49	0.38	0.65	-0.15	0.42	0.34	0.65	0.2	-0.5	-0.01	0.12	-0.05	-0.06	-0.13	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.21	0.06
Short Term Investments	-0.77	-0.75	-0.69	-0.74	-0.61		-0.71	-0.44	-0.68	-0.21	-0.6	0.22	-0.72	-0.03	-0.73	0.08	0.51	-0.01	0.31	0.25	0.12	-0.09	0.18	0.43	-0.45	0.34	-0.52
Total Liab	0.97	0.67	0.68	0.48	0.84	-0.71		0.88	0.62	0.17	0.35	0.08	0.77	0.54	0.63	0.17	-0.29	-0.36	0.24	-0.36	-0.34	0.22	0.31	0.18	-0.1	0.02	0.06
Total Current Assets	0.89	0.66	0.34	0.45	0.86	-0.44	0.88		0.43	0.25	0.41	0.06	0.41	0.55	0.45	0.13	-0.4	-0.15	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	-0.06	0.19	0.31	-0.2	0.16	-0.06
Short Term Debt	0.66	0.6	0.86	0.53	0.49	-0.68	0.62	0.43		0.23	0.34	-0.17	0.67	0.44	0.61	0.26	-0.27	-0.01	0.15	-0.1	-0.2	0.49	0.01	-0.31	0.25	-0.19	0.23
Common Stock	0.23	0.31	0.04	0.27	0.38	-0.21	0.17	0.25	0.23		0.31	-0.31	-0.15	0.17	0.06	0.67	-0.4	0.33	-0.03	0.38	0.32	-0.22	-0.25	-0.11	0.15	-0.03	0.13
Intangible Assets	0.54	0.88	0.03	0.92	0.65	-0.6	0.35	0.41	0.34	0.31		-0.35	0.03	-0.2	0.69	-0.27	-0.9	0.53	-0.58	0.27	0.45	-0.55	-0.54	-0.46	0.55	-0.44	0.38
Net Receivables	-0.03	-0.29	-0.08	-0.31	-0.15	0.22	0.08	0.06	-0.17	-0.31	-0.35		0.09	0.16	-0.13	-0.01	0.29	-0.49	0.04	-0.54	-0.22	0.15	0.27	0.33	-0.41	0.29	-0.32
Long Term Debt	0.7	0.39	0.9	0.3	0.42	-0.72	0.77	0.41	0.67	-0.15	0.03	0.09		0.44	0.62	0.05	0.02	-0.55	0.2	-0.66	-0.64	0.64	0.42	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	0.12
Good Will	0.49	0.19	0.42	0.02	0.34	-0.03	0.54	0.55	0.44	0.17	-0.2	0.16	0.44		0.21	0.52	0.1	-0.38	0.58	-0.17	-0.31	0.49	0.44	0.35	-0.45	0.29	-0.34
Property Plant Equipment	0.74	0.84	0.52	0.82	0.65	-0.73	0.63	0.45	0.61	0.06	0.69	-0.13	0.62	0.21		-0.16	-0.64	-0.05	-0.28	-0.31	-0.17	0.09	0.01	-0.25	0.29	-0.21	0.12
Current Deferred Revenue	0.07	-0.15	0.27	-0.26	0.2	0.08	0.17	0.13	0.26	0.67	-0.27	-0.01	0.05	0.52	-0.16		0.27	-0.19	0.51	0.0	-0.24	0.34	0.32	0.15	-0.3	-0.02	-0.26
Treasury Stock	-0.49	-0.85	0.07	-0.88	-0.5	0.51	-0.29	-0.4	-0.27	-0.4	-0.9	0.29	0.02	0.1	-0.64	0.27		-0.51	0.63	-0.3	-0.55	0.57	0.57	0.32	-0.49	0.13	-0.32
Net Tangible Assets	-0.17	0.32	-0.35	0.45	-0.01	-0.01	-0.36	-0.15	-0.01	0.33	0.53	-0.49	-0.55	-0.38	-0.05	-0.19	-0.51		-0.43	0.87	0.9	-0.64	-0.88	-0.65	0.75	-0.37	0.62
Long Term Investments	0.08	-0.33	0.33	-0.53	0.12	0.31	0.24	0.28	0.15	-0.03	-0.58	0.04	0.2	0.58	-0.28	0.51	0.63	-0.43		-0.06	-0.48	0.57	0.71	0.54	-0.54	0.38	-0.41
Short Long Term Debt	-0.23	0.12	-0.4	0.17	-0.05	0.25	-0.36	-0.05	-0.1	0.38	0.27	-0.54	-0.66	-0.17	-0.31	0.0	-0.3	0.87	-0.06		0.82	-0.55	-0.66	-0.31	0.45	-0.1	0.39
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.16	0.26	-0.55	0.36	-0.06	0.12	-0.34	-0.04	-0.2	0.32	0.45	-0.22	-0.64	-0.31	-0.17	-0.24	-0.55	0.9	-0.48	0.82		-0.78	-0.87	-0.39	0.55	-0.15	0.5
Long Term Debt Total	0.09	-0.24	0.71	-0.31	-0.13	-0.09	0.22	-0.06	0.49	-0.22	-0.55	0.15	0.64	0.49	0.09	0.34	0.57	-0.64	0.57	-0.55	-0.78		0.65	0.13	-0.37	0.22	-0.31
Capital Surpluse	0.12	-0.34	0.32	-0.51	0.11	0.18	0.31	0.19	0.01	-0.25	-0.54	0.27	0.42	0.44	0.01	0.32	0.57	-0.88	0.71	-0.66	-0.87	0.65		0.7	-0.76	0.41	-0.71
Cash And Equivalents	0.04	-0.33	-0.15	-0.53	0.03	0.43	0.18	0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.46	0.33	0.01	0.35	-0.25	0.15	0.32	-0.65	0.54	-0.31	-0.39	0.13	0.7		-0.78	0.64	-0.66
Net Invested Capital	0.05	0.43	0.12	0.6	0.04	-0.45	-0.1	-0.2	0.25	0.15	0.55	-0.41	-0.02	-0.45	0.29	-0.3	-0.49	0.75	-0.54	0.45	0.55	-0.37	-0.76	-0.78		-0.48	0.89
Net Working Capital	-0.05	-0.25	-0.12	-0.36	-0.21	0.34	0.02	0.16	-0.19	-0.03	-0.44	0.29	-0.01	0.29	-0.21	-0.02	0.13	-0.37	0.38	-0.1	-0.15	0.22	0.41	0.64	-0.48		-0.44
Capital Stock	0.16	0.36	0.22	0.47	0.06	-0.52	0.06	-0.06	0.23	0.13	0.38	-0.32	0.12	-0.34	0.12	-0.26	-0.32	0.62	-0.41	0.39	0.5	-0.31	-0.71	-0.66	0.89	-0.44

Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict BP PLC

Based on the latest financial disclosure, BP PLC ADR has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 6.0%. This is 87.56% lower than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and 86.08% lower than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 84.94% higher than that of the company.

BP PLC Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses BP PLC's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of BP PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BP PLC by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

BP PLC is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

BP PLC Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0136	(0.0774)	0.0263	(0.00471)	0.0544	0.0458
Asset Turnover	0.94	0.4	0.55	0.84	0.74	1.19
Gross Profit Margin	0.0991	0.0961	0.14	0.23	0.31	0.15
Net Debt	55.0B	52.7B	39.1B	26.3B	30.0B	22.8B
Total Current Liabilities	73.6B	59.8B	80.3B	99.0B	86.1B	49.6B
Non Current Liabilities Total	120.9B	122.3B	116.5B	106.1B	108.7B	61.9B
Total Assets	295.2B	267.7B	287.3B	288.1B	280.3B	181.0B
Total Current Assets	82.1B	73.0B	92.6B	107.7B	104.1B	55.8B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	25.8B	12.2B	23.6B	40.9B	32.0B	19.3B

BP PLC ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, BP PLC's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to BP PLC's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

BP PLC Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0392
	Return On Asset	0.0301
	Profit Margin	0.01 %
	Operating Margin	0.08 %
	Current Valuation	110.06 B
	Shares Outstanding	2.61 B
	Shares Owned By Institutions	11.46 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	11.81 M
	Price To Earning	15.93 X
	Price To Book	1.17 X
	Price To Sales	0.40 X
	Revenue	210.13 B
	Gross Profit	70.17 B
	EBITDA	43.5 B
	Net Income	15.24 B
	Cash And Equivalents	29.2 B
	Cash Per Share	10.29 X
	Total Debt	63.08 B
	Debt To Equity	0.75 %
	Current Ratio	1.16 X
	Book Value Per Share	3.97 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	32.04 B
	Short Ratio	1.19 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.00 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	13.74 X
	Target Price	38.87
	Number Of Employees	87.8 K
	Beta	0.51
	Market Capitalization	76.79 B
	Total Asset	280.29 B
	Retained Earnings	35.34 B
	Working Capital	18.07 B
	Current Asset	70.02 B
	Current Liabilities	54.63 B
	Annual Yield	0.07 %
	Five Year Return	6.49 %
	Net Asset	280.29 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.31

About BP PLC Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze BP PLC ADR's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of BP PLC using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of BP PLC ADR based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with BP PLC

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BP PLC position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BP PLC will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with BP PLC Stock

0.86	E	Eni SpA ADR	Pair Corr
0.9	EC	Ecopetrol SA ADR Sell-off Trend	Pair Corr

Moving against BP PLC Stock

0.8	LB	LandBridge Company	Pair Corr
0.73	EE	Excelerate Energy	Pair Corr
0.72	TGS	Transportadora de Gas	Pair Corr
0.67	AE	Adams Resources Energy	Pair Corr
0.66	YPF	YPF Sociedad Anonima	Pair Corr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to BP PLC could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BP PLC when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BP PLC - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BP PLC ADR to buy it.

The correlation of BP PLC is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BP PLC moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BP PLC ADR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BP PLC can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair Correlation Correlation Matching

Additional Tools for BP PLC Stock Analysis

When running BP PLC's price analysis, check to measure BP PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BP PLC is operating at the current time. Most of BP PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BP PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BP PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BP PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

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Bp Plc Adr Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BP PLC ADR Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current BP PLC Probability Of Bankruptcy

BP PLC Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

BP PLC Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

BP PLC Main Bankruptcy Drivers

BP PLC ESG Sustainability

BP PLC Fundamentals

About BP PLC Fundamental Analysis

Pair Trading with BP PLC

Moving together with BP PLC Stock

Moving against BP PLC Stock

Additional Tools for BP PLC Stock Analysis

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