Copt Defense Properties Stock Beneish M Score

CDP Stock   30.93  1.21  3.76%   
This module uses fundamental data of COPT Defense to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. COPT Defense M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out COPT Defense Piotroski F Score and COPT Defense Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, COPT Defense's Long Term Debt is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/18/2024, Short and Long Term Debt is likely to grow to about 109.1 M, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 1.7 B. At this time, COPT Defense's Capex To Depreciation is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/18/2024, Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to 3.88, while PTB Ratio is likely to drop 1.00.
At this time, it appears that COPT Defense Properties is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if COPT Defense's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by COPT Defense executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of COPT Defense's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.62
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.79

Focus
Asset Quality

1.07

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.9

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.18

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.9

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.0

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.78

Focus

COPT Defense Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if COPT Defense's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables219.6 M279.7 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue684.2 M685 M
Slightly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets3.9 B4.2 B
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Current Assets422.1 M529.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total3.9 B3.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment3.9 B4.1 B
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization143.8 M151.4 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative38.4 M42.8 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities204 M305.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.3 B2.5 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt71.2 M75 M
Notably Down
Very volatile
Long Term Debt2.4 B2.3 B
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income113.8 M188.5 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities246.1 M276.3 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments1.7 M2.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments29.4 M41.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.40.3376
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile

COPT Defense Properties Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between COPT Defense's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards COPT Defense in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find COPT Defense's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About COPT Defense Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

517.9 Million

At this time, COPT Defense's Other Operating Expenses is relatively stable compared to the past year.

COPT Defense Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as COPT Defense. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables196.7M203.3M231.9M253.1M279.7M219.6M
Total Revenue641.2M609.4M664.4M739.0M685.0M684.2M
Total Assets3.9B4.1B4.3B4.3B4.2B3.9B
Total Current Assets307.5M326.2M568.6M513.3M529.6M422.1M
Net Debt1.8B2.1B2.3B2.2B2.3B1.7B
Short Term Debt177M143M76M211M75M71.3M
Operating Income156.1M160.7M168.7M48.6M188.5M113.8M

COPT Defense ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, COPT Defense's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to COPT Defense's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About COPT Defense Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze COPT Defense Properties's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of COPT Defense using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of COPT Defense Properties based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with COPT Defense

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if COPT Defense position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in COPT Defense will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against COPT Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to COPT Defense could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace COPT Defense when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back COPT Defense - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling COPT Defense Properties to buy it.
The correlation of COPT Defense is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as COPT Defense moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if COPT Defense Properties moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for COPT Defense can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for COPT Stock Analysis

When running COPT Defense's price analysis, check to measure COPT Defense's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy COPT Defense is operating at the current time. Most of COPT Defense's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of COPT Defense's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move COPT Defense's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of COPT Defense to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.