Chemung Financial Corp Stock Beneish M Score

CHMG Stock  USD 51.83  0.20  0.38%   
This module uses fundamental data of Chemung Financial to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Chemung Financial M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Chemung Financial Piotroski F Score and Chemung Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Chemung Financial's Long Term Debt is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Chemung Financial's current Long Term Debt Total is estimated to increase to about 25.7 M, while Short and Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to roughly 26.9 M. At this time, Chemung Financial's PTB Ratio is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. The Chemung Financial's current Book Value Per Share is estimated to increase to 43.32, while Free Cash Flow Yield is projected to decrease to 0.09.
At this time, it appears that Chemung Financial Corp is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Chemung Financial's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Chemung Financial executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Chemung Financial's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.28
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.0

Focus
Asset Quality

1.04

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.56

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.04

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.56

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.21

Focus
Net Sales Growth

1.05

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Chemung Financial Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Chemung Financial's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables108 M102.9 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue118.7 M113.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets2.8 B2.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets576.6 M630.2 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Assets Total81.8 M86.1 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Property Plant Equipment28.7 M25.9 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization2.5 M2.8 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative21.5 M36.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.9 B1.9 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.6 B2.5 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt30.4 M33.2 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt93.7 M89.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income29.9 M31.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities19.1 M30.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments554.8 M584 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments808.6 M587.8 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable

Chemung Financial Corp Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Chemung Financial's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Chemung Financial in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Chemung Financial's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Chemung Financial Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

2.52 Million

At this time, Chemung Financial's Depreciation And Amortization is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years.

Chemung Financial Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Chemung Financial. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables33.5M43.1M43.8M89.5M102.9M108.0M
Total Revenue79.9M82.9M88.4M94.6M113.1M118.7M
Total Assets1.8B2.3B2.4B2.6B2.7B2.8B
Total Current Assets439.5M706.2M862.8M777.9M630.2M576.6M
Net Debt(109.7M)(97.4M)(1.1M)145.7M4.0M4.1M
Short Term Debt1.3M1.3M14.6M95.8M33.2M30.4M
Long Term Debt4.1M3.8M18.2M99.1M89.2M93.7M
Operating Income19.0M23.9M33.8M44.2M31.5M29.9M
Investments(32.3M)(495.8M)(242.6M)(252.5M)(82.4M)(86.5M)

Chemung Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Chemung Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Chemung Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Chemung Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Chemung Financial Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Chemung Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chemung Financial Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Chemung Financial Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chemung Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chemung Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chemung Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Chemung Financial Piotroski F Score and Chemung Financial Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chemung Financial. If investors know Chemung will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chemung Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
1.24
Earnings Share
4.52
Revenue Per Share
19.63
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Chemung Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chemung that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chemung Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chemung Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chemung Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chemung Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chemung Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chemung Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chemung Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.