Assured Guaranty Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| DHU Stock | EUR 83.50 0.50 0.60% |
Assured |
Assured Guaranty Company chance of financial distress Analysis
Assured Guaranty's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Assured Guaranty Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 9% |
Most of Assured Guaranty's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Assured Guaranty is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Assured Guaranty probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Assured Guaranty odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Assured Guaranty financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Assured Guaranty has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 9.0%. This is 81.97% lower than that of the Financial Services sector and 70.41% lower than that of the Insurance - Specialty industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all Germany stocks is 77.4% higher than that of the company.
Assured Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Assured Guaranty's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Assured Guaranty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Assured Guaranty by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Assured Guaranty is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Assured Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.0232 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0129 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.44 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 4.95 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 59.99 M | |||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 6.07 % | |||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 89.98 % | |||
| Price To Earning | 10.92 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.73 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 4.37 X | |||
| Revenue | 698 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 788 M | |||
| EBITDA | 373.67 M | |||
| Net Income | 389 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 850 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 8.38 X | |||
| Total Debt | 1.67 B | |||
| Debt To Equity | 19.80 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 0.66 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 83.45 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (1.94 B) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.80 X | |||
| Target Price | 58.0 | |||
| Number Of Employees | 10 | |||
| Beta | 1.12 | |||
| Market Capitalization | 3.15 B | |||
| Total Asset | 18.21 B | |||
| Z Score | 0.6 | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |||
| Five Year Return | 1.66 % | |||
| Net Asset | 18.21 B |
About Assured Guaranty Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Assured Guaranty's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Assured Guaranty using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Assured Guaranty based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Assured Stock
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. For more detail on how to invest in Assured Stock please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.