Ford Motor Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

F Stock  USD 11.10  0.30  2.63%   
Ford's odds of distress is less than 4% at the present time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. Ford's Chance of financial distress is determined by interpolating and adjusting Ford Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Ford balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Ford Piotroski F Score and Ford Altman Z Score analysis.
  
The Ford's current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 158.5 B, while Market Cap is projected to decrease to roughly 15.5 B.

Ford Motor Company chance of financial distress Analysis

Ford's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Ford Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 4%  
Most of Ford's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ford Motor is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Ford probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ford odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ford Motor financial health.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ford. If investors know Ford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ford listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
0.88
Revenue Per Share
45.872
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
The market value of Ford Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ford's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ford's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ford's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ford's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ford Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ford is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ford Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Ford's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ford's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ford's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Ford Motor has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 4.0%. This is 90.34% lower than that of the Automobiles sector and 91.25% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 89.96% higher than that of the company.

Ford Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ford's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ford could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ford by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Ford is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Ford Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets3.25E-4(0.004774)0.0698(0.00841)0.01590.0226
Asset Turnover0.610.630.60.480.530.62
Net Debt139.2B137.8B118.9B115.3B126.2B124.1B
Total Current Liabilities98.1B97.2B90.7B96.9B101.5B73.5B
Non Current Liabilities Total127.2B139.3B117.7B115.9B129.0B146.4B
Total Assets258.5B267.3B257.0B255.9B273.3B242.5B
Total Current Assets114.0B116.7B109.0B116.5B121.5B112.5B
Total Cash From Operating Activities17.6B24.3B15.8B6.9B14.9B13.0B

Ford ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ford's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ford's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Ford Fundamentals

About Ford Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ford Motor's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ford using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ford Motor based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ford. If investors know Ford will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ford listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
0.88
Revenue Per Share
45.872
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
The market value of Ford Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ford's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ford's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ford's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ford's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ford's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ford is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ford's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.