Great Elm Capital Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| GECCNDelisted Stock | USD 24.77 0.01 0.04% |
Great |
Great Elm Capital Company odds of distress Analysis
Great Elm's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Great Elm Probability Of Bankruptcy | Over 100% |
Most of Great Elm's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Great Elm Capital is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Great Elm probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Great Elm odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Great Elm Capital financial health.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
CompetitionBased on the latest financial disclosure, Great Elm Capital has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 100%. This is much higher than that of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector and significantly higher than that of the Energy industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is notably lower than that of the firm.
Great Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Great Elm's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Great Elm could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Great Elm by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Great Elm is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.
Great Fundamentals
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 95 | |||
| Revenue | 18.68 M | |||
| EBITDA | (79.95 M) | |||
| Net Income | (15.58 M) | |||
| Total Debt | 153.15 M | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (41.76 M) | |||
| Total Asset | 310.11 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (199.37 M) | |||
| Z Score | -1.69 | |||
| Annual Yield | 0.12 % | |||
| Net Asset | 310.11 M | |||
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.41 |
About Great Elm Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Great Elm Capital's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Great Elm using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Great Elm Capital based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Great Elm
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Great Elm position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Great Elm will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Great Stock
| 0.88 | PFE | Pfizer Inc Fiscal Year End 4th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | ARE | Alexandria Real Estate | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | ESALF | Eisai | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | MRK | Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | MZDAF | Mazda Motor | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Great Elm could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Great Elm when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Great Elm - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Great Elm Capital to buy it.
The correlation of Great Elm is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Great Elm moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Great Elm Capital moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Great Elm can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Other Consideration for investing in Great Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Great Elm Capital check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Great Elm's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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