Mdu Resources Group Stock Beneish M Score

MDU Stock  USD 18.20  0.13  0.71%   
This module uses fundamental data of MDU Resources to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. MDU Resources M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out MDU Resources Piotroski F Score and MDU Resources Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop to about 1.6 B in 2024. Net Debt is likely to drop to about 1.5 B in 2024. At this time, MDU Resources' Payout Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. EV To Operating Cash Flow is likely to gain to 14.68 in 2024, whereas Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 44.56 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that MDU Resources Group is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if MDU Resources' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by MDU Resources executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of MDU Resources' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-5.92
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.98

Focus
Asset Quality

-5.83

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.63

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.97

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.63

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.55

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.64

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.08

Focus

MDU Resources Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if MDU Resources' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables592.1 M942.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total RevenueB4.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets4.6 B7.8 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets997.9 M1.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total4.6 B6.5 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment4.3 BB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization244.2 M213.6 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Current Liabilities715.1 M1.1 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total2.6 B3.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt1.5 B2.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt108.4 M202.1 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt1.7 B2.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income368 M426 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities500.7 M332.6 M
Way Up
Very volatile
Long Term Investments149.5 M124.2 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.130.1336
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

MDU Resources Group Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between MDU Resources' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards MDU Resources in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find MDU Resources' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About MDU Resources Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Operating Income

368.02 Million

At this time, MDU Resources' Operating Income is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

MDU Resources Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as MDU Resources. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables836.6M874.0M946.7M1.1B942.8M592.1M
Total Revenue5.3B5.5B5.7B7.0B4.7B3.0B
Total Assets7.7B8.1B8.9B9.7B7.8B4.6B
Total Current Assets1.3B1.3B1.6B2.0B1.4B997.9M
Net Debt2.3B2.3B2.8B3.1B2.4B1.5B
Short Term Debt48.2M118.9M218.8M107.6M202.1M108.4M
Long Term Debt2.2B2.2B2.6B2.8B2.2B1.7B
Operating Income481.2M544.9M534.2M574M426.0M368.0M
Investments(2.0M)(1.8M)(885.9M)(638.9M)(589.2M)(559.8M)

MDU Resources ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, MDU Resources' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to MDU Resources' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About MDU Resources Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze MDU Resources Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of MDU Resources using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of MDU Resources Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for MDU Stock Analysis

When running MDU Resources' price analysis, check to measure MDU Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MDU Resources is operating at the current time. Most of MDU Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MDU Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MDU Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MDU Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.