The Mosaic Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

MOS Stock

USD 26.46 0.73 2.84%

Mosaic's odds of distress is less than 3% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. Mosaic's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting Mosaic Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Mosaic balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Mosaic Piotroski F Score and Mosaic Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 7.7 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 7.5 B in 2024

The Mosaic Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Mosaic's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Mosaic Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of Mosaic's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, The Mosaic is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Mosaic probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Mosaic odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of The Mosaic financial health.

Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mosaic. If investors know Mosaic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mosaic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.89)

Dividend Share

0.83

Earnings Share

1.13

Revenue Per Share

35.579

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.21)

The market value of Mosaic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mosaic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mosaic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mosaic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mosaic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mosaic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mosaic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mosaic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mosaic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mosaic Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Mosaic is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Mosaic Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Mosaic's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Mosaic's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Mosaic's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Accounts Payable	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Intangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Deferred Long Term Liab	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.85	0.43	0.97	0.85	0.74	0.49	0.56	0.74	-0.88	0.31	0.87	0.54	0.37	0.63	0.87	0.17	0.52	-0.74	0.31	0.52	0.52	0.05	0.36	-0.59	-0.51
Total Stockholder Equity	0.85		-0.08	0.88	0.77	0.37	0.77	0.28	0.57	-0.89	0.2	0.95	0.25	0.68	0.29	0.65	0.18	0.38	-0.77	-0.09	0.44	0.24	-0.03	0.35	-0.22	-0.37
Net Debt	0.43	-0.08		0.36	0.28	0.71	-0.47	0.44	0.3	-0.17	0.06	0.05	0.7	-0.37	0.64	0.51	-0.05	0.43	-0.17	0.74	0.37	0.43	0.13	0.1	-0.64	-0.34
Retained Earnings	0.97	0.88	0.36		0.89	0.64	0.5	0.51	0.68	-0.86	0.27	0.86	0.48	0.43	0.52	0.8	0.2	0.5	-0.85	0.2	0.64	0.47	0.03	0.47	-0.46	-0.56
Net Receivables	0.85	0.77	0.28	0.89		0.5	0.45	0.64	0.8	-0.64	0.4	0.69	0.19	0.19	0.55	0.64	0.5	0.11	-0.66	0.23	0.37	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.5	-0.74
Total Liab	0.74	0.37	0.71	0.64	0.5		0.23	0.58	0.57	-0.6	0.33	0.51	0.72	0.02	0.62	0.92	0.06	0.5	-0.45	0.59	0.42	0.62	0.14	-0.03	-0.65	-0.13
Total Current Assets	0.49	0.77	-0.47	0.5	0.45	0.23		0.18	0.39	-0.65	0.33	0.71	-0.04	0.67	-0.07	0.44	0.17	0.1	-0.51	-0.33	0.15	0.21	0.04	0.06	0.08	0.08
Short Term Debt	0.56	0.28	0.44	0.51	0.64	0.58	0.18		0.89	-0.2	0.81	0.19	0.05	-0.37	0.65	0.52	0.51	-0.09	-0.26	0.41	0.07	0.99	0.06	0.47	-0.75	-0.57
Accounts Payable	0.74	0.57	0.3	0.68	0.8	0.57	0.39	0.89		-0.44	0.73	0.49	0.03	-0.12	0.73	0.65	0.55	-0.03	-0.36	0.26	0.01	0.86	-0.17	0.49	-0.8	-0.62
Common Stock	-0.88	-0.89	-0.17	-0.86	-0.64	-0.6	-0.65	-0.2	-0.44		-0.05	-0.97	-0.56	-0.72	-0.26	-0.77	0.12	-0.61	0.78	-0.13	-0.56	-0.19	-0.08	-0.06	0.24	0.14
Current Deferred Revenue	0.31	0.2	0.06	0.27	0.4	0.33	0.33	0.81	0.73	-0.05		0.05	-0.29	-0.35	0.5	0.32	0.48	-0.28	-0.05	0.15	-0.16	0.83	-0.18	0.27	-0.54	-0.34
Intangible Assets	0.87	0.95	0.05	0.86	0.69	0.51	0.71	0.19	0.49	-0.97	0.05		0.42	0.72	0.28	0.75	0.05	0.51	-0.76	0.03	0.48	0.17	0.03	0.17	-0.24	-0.24
Long Term Debt	0.54	0.25	0.7	0.48	0.19	0.72	-0.04	0.05	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	0.42		0.27	0.31	0.62	-0.45	0.83	-0.45	0.43	0.61	0.06	0.34	-0.24	-0.27	0.09
Good Will	0.37	0.68	-0.37	0.43	0.19	0.02	0.67	-0.37	-0.12	-0.72	-0.35	0.72	0.27		-0.37	0.22	-0.36	0.46	-0.57	-0.34	0.45	-0.37	0.21	-0.08	0.45	0.25
Short Term Investments	0.63	0.29	0.64	0.52	0.55	0.62	-0.07	0.65	0.73	-0.26	0.5	0.28	0.31	-0.37		0.65	0.4	0.18	-0.09	0.52	-0.02	0.61	-0.23	0.31	-0.94	-0.61
Property Plant Equipment	0.87	0.65	0.51	0.8	0.64	0.92	0.44	0.52	0.65	-0.77	0.32	0.75	0.62	0.22	0.65		0.2	0.5	-0.57	0.44	0.43	0.54	0.01	0.09	-0.64	-0.25
Net Tangible Assets	0.17	0.18	-0.05	0.2	0.5	0.06	0.17	0.51	0.55	0.12	0.48	0.05	-0.45	-0.36	0.4	0.2		-0.61	0.04	0.1	-0.25	0.48	-0.23	0.7	-0.36	-0.65
Long Term Debt Total	0.52	0.38	0.43	0.5	0.11	0.5	0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.61	-0.28	0.51	0.83	0.46	0.18	0.5	-0.61		-0.6	0.08	0.7	-0.09	0.32	-0.25	-0.12	0.12
Capital Surpluse	-0.74	-0.77	-0.17	-0.85	-0.66	-0.45	-0.51	-0.26	-0.36	0.78	-0.05	-0.76	-0.45	-0.57	-0.09	-0.57	0.04	-0.6		0.08	-0.85	-0.25	-0.17	-0.35	0.07	0.32
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.31	-0.09	0.74	0.2	0.23	0.59	-0.33	0.41	0.26	-0.13	0.15	0.03	0.43	-0.34	0.52	0.44	0.1	0.08	0.08		0.14	0.42	0.23	0.09	-0.52	-0.24
Long Term Investments	0.52	0.44	0.37	0.64	0.37	0.42	0.15	0.07	0.01	-0.56	-0.16	0.48	0.61	0.45	-0.02	0.43	-0.25	0.7	-0.85	0.14		0.07	0.42	0.25	0.1	-0.19
Short Long Term Debt	0.52	0.24	0.43	0.47	0.59	0.62	0.21	0.99	0.86	-0.19	0.83	0.17	0.06	-0.37	0.61	0.54	0.48	-0.09	-0.25	0.42	0.07		0.09	0.4	-0.72	-0.48
Cash And Equivalents	0.05	-0.03	0.13	0.03	-0.09	0.14	0.04	0.06	-0.17	-0.08	-0.18	0.03	0.34	0.21	-0.23	0.01	-0.23	0.32	-0.17	0.23	0.42	0.09		0.04	0.24	0.1
Net Invested Capital	0.36	0.35	0.1	0.47	0.68	-0.03	0.06	0.47	0.49	-0.06	0.27	0.17	-0.24	-0.08	0.31	0.09	0.7	-0.25	-0.35	0.09	0.25	0.4	0.04		-0.19	-0.87
Net Working Capital	-0.59	-0.22	-0.64	-0.46	-0.5	-0.65	0.08	-0.75	-0.8	0.24	-0.54	-0.24	-0.27	0.45	-0.94	-0.64	-0.36	-0.12	0.07	-0.52	0.1	-0.72	0.24	-0.19		0.52
Capital Stock	-0.51	-0.37	-0.34	-0.56	-0.74	-0.13	0.08	-0.57	-0.62	0.14	-0.34	-0.24	0.09	0.25	-0.61	-0.25	-0.65	0.12	0.32	-0.24	-0.19	-0.48	0.1	-0.87	0.52

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Mosaic

Based on the latest financial disclosure, The Mosaic has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.23% lower than that of the Chemicals sector and 92.81% lower than that of the Materials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

Mosaic Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Mosaic's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Mosaic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mosaic by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Mosaic is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Mosaic Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0534)	0.0337	0.074	0.15	0.0506	0.0273
Asset Turnover	0.46	0.44	0.56	0.82	0.59	0.65
Gross Profit Margin	0.16	0.1	0.12	0.26	0.3	0.25
Net Debt	4.1B	4.0B	3.5B	2.9B	3.6B	3.8B
Total Current Liabilities	2.6B	3.1B	4.8B	5.5B	3.9B	4.1B
Non Current Liabilities Total	7.3B	6.9B	6.5B	5.7B	6.7B	3.8B
Total Assets	19.3B	19.8B	22.0B	23.4B	23.0B	24.2B
Total Current Assets	3.7B	3.5B	5.3B	6.6B	4.7B	2.9B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	1.1B	1.6B	2.2B	3.9B	2.4B	2.5B

Mosaic ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Mosaic's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Mosaic's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Mosaic Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0335
	Return On Asset	0.0218
	Profit Margin	0.03 %
	Operating Margin	0.04 %
	Current Valuation	12.15 B
	Shares Outstanding	317.64 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.67 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	88.65 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	6.81 M
	Price To Earning	19.24 X
	Price To Book	0.69 X
	Price To Sales	0.71 X
	Revenue	13.7 B
	Gross Profit	5.78 B
	EBITDA	2.57 B
	Net Income	1.21 B
	Cash And Equivalents	735.4 M
	Cash Per Share	2.43 X
	Total Debt	3.99 B
	Debt To Equity	0.35 %
	Current Ratio	1.30 X
	Book Value Per Share	37.15 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	2.41 B
	Short Ratio	1.76 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.13 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	5.20 X
	Target Price	32.74
	Number Of Employees	14.05 K
	Beta	1.36
	Market Capitalization	8.17 B
	Total Asset	23.03 B
	Retained Earnings	14.24 B
	Working Capital	871.3 M
	Current Asset	4.14 B
	Current Liabilities	2.05 B
	Annual Yield	0.03 %
	Five Year Return	0.95 %
	Net Asset	23.03 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.83

About Mosaic Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze The Mosaic's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Mosaic using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of The Mosaic based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Mosaic Stock Analysis

When running Mosaic's price analysis, check to measure Mosaic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mosaic is operating at the current time. Most of Mosaic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mosaic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mosaic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mosaic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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The Mosaic Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

The Mosaic Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Mosaic Probability Of Bankruptcy

Mosaic Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Mosaic Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Mosaic Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Mosaic ESG Sustainability

Mosaic Fundamentals

About Mosaic Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Mosaic Stock Analysis

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