Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

NCLH Stock

USD 26.92 0.26 0.96%

Norwegian Cruise's odds of distress is under 26% at the present time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Probability of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Norwegian balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Norwegian Cruise Piotroski F Score and Norwegian Cruise Altman Z Score analysis.

The Norwegian Cruise's current Enterprise Value is estimated to increase to about 24 B, while Market Cap is projected to decrease to under 5.9 B.

Norwegian Cruise Line Company probability of distress Analysis

Norwegian Cruise's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Norwegian Cruise Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 26%

Most of Norwegian Cruise's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Norwegian Cruise Line is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Norwegian Cruise probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Norwegian Cruise odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Norwegian Cruise Line financial health.

Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Norwegian Cruise. If investors know Norwegian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Norwegian Cruise listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.34

Earnings Share

1.14

Revenue Per Share

21.674

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.107

Return On Assets

0.044

The market value of Norwegian Cruise Line is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Norwegian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Norwegian Cruise's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Norwegian Cruise's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Norwegian Cruise's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Norwegian Cruise's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Short Long Term Debt	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Long Term Investments	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.19	0.71	0.74	-0.29	0.59	0.48	-0.11	0.8	0.7	0.52	0.18	0.82	0.89	0.97	0.58	0.19	0.73	0.7	0.26	0.64	0.02	-0.1	0.63
Total Stockholder Equity	0.19		-0.25	-0.38	0.87	-0.38	-0.29	0.79	-0.33	-0.09	-0.39	0.6	-0.19	-0.24	0.05	0.5	0.95	-0.44	-0.5	-0.58	-0.25	0.38	0.49	-0.61
Current Deferred Revenue	0.71	-0.25		0.94	-0.61	0.55	0.39	-0.3	0.92	0.33	0.94	0.09	0.86	0.7	0.82	0.31	-0.29	0.61	0.7	0.82	0.62	-0.59	-0.71	0.75
Net Debt	0.74	-0.38	0.94		-0.77	0.63	0.55	-0.48	0.99	0.54	0.89	-0.02	0.94	0.84	0.82	0.31	-0.39	0.78	0.8	0.76	0.76	-0.39	-0.68	0.89
Retained Earnings	-0.29	0.87	-0.61	-0.77		-0.64	-0.57	0.81	-0.73	-0.42	-0.68	0.45	-0.63	-0.64	-0.41	0.17	0.82	-0.75	-0.8	-0.73	-0.57	0.37	0.6	-0.91
Accounts Payable	0.59	-0.38	0.55	0.63	-0.64		0.74	-0.51	0.65	0.56	0.5	-0.26	0.62	0.7	0.62	-0.03	-0.32	0.71	0.83	0.44	0.48	-0.19	-0.13	0.79
Net Receivables	0.48	-0.29	0.39	0.55	-0.57	0.74		-0.47	0.57	0.64	0.43	-0.26	0.59	0.59	0.45	0.06	-0.21	0.59	0.7	0.37	0.51	0.05	-0.16	0.72
Good Will	-0.11	0.79	-0.3	-0.48	0.81	-0.51	-0.47		-0.5	-0.58	-0.29	0.8	-0.36	-0.51	-0.2	0.56	0.58	-0.73	-0.63	-0.41	-0.68	-0.01	0.42	-0.76
Total Liab	0.8	-0.33	0.92	0.99	-0.73	0.65	0.57	-0.5		0.63	0.83	-0.05	0.95	0.89	0.86	0.32	-0.31	0.82	0.81	0.68	0.81	-0.28	-0.61	0.89
Total Current Assets	0.7	-0.09	0.33	0.54	-0.42	0.56	0.64	-0.58	0.63		0.15	-0.37	0.61	0.83	0.63	0.11	0.11	0.83	0.64	-0.01	0.85	0.51	0.0	0.68
Short Term Debt	0.52	-0.39	0.94	0.89	-0.68	0.5	0.43	-0.29	0.83	0.15		0.12	0.79	0.56	0.66	0.25	-0.48	0.51	0.66	0.94	0.48	-0.72	-0.81	0.72
Intangible Assets	0.18	0.6	0.09	-0.02	0.45	-0.26	-0.26	0.8	-0.05	-0.37	0.12		0.08	-0.19	0.09	0.7	0.34	-0.42	-0.34	-0.07	-0.33	-0.16	0.05	-0.4
Common Stock	0.82	-0.19	0.86	0.94	-0.63	0.62	0.59	-0.36	0.95	0.61	0.79	0.08		0.85	0.85	0.44	-0.22	0.74	0.75	0.6	0.73	-0.22	-0.51	0.81
Long Term Debt	0.89	-0.24	0.7	0.84	-0.64	0.7	0.59	-0.51	0.89	0.83	0.56	-0.19	0.85		0.9	0.33	-0.16	0.94	0.88	0.37	0.8	0.03	-0.24	0.87
Property Plant Equipment	0.97	0.05	0.82	0.82	-0.41	0.62	0.45	-0.2	0.86	0.63	0.66	0.09	0.85	0.9		0.5	0.05	0.77	0.78	0.43	0.65	-0.17	-0.25	0.71
Treasury Stock	0.58	0.5	0.31	0.31	0.17	-0.03	0.06	0.56	0.32	0.11	0.25	0.7	0.44	0.33	0.5		0.31	0.03	0.05	-0.03	0.02	0.04	0.06	0.0
Net Tangible Assets	0.19	0.95	-0.29	-0.39	0.82	-0.32	-0.21	0.58	-0.31	0.11	-0.48	0.34	-0.22	-0.16	0.05	0.31		-0.31	-0.43	-0.64	-0.08	0.55	0.52	-0.52
Long Term Debt Total	0.73	-0.44	0.61	0.78	-0.75	0.71	0.59	-0.73	0.82	0.83	0.51	-0.42	0.74	0.94	0.77	0.03	-0.31		0.92	0.42	0.82	0.03	-0.29	0.92
Capital Surpluse	0.7	-0.5	0.7	0.8	-0.8	0.83	0.7	-0.63	0.81	0.64	0.66	-0.34	0.75	0.88	0.78	0.05	-0.43	0.92		0.6	0.63	-0.25	-0.32	0.94
Short Long Term Debt	0.26	-0.58	0.82	0.76	-0.73	0.44	0.37	-0.41	0.68	-0.01	0.94	-0.07	0.6	0.37	0.43	-0.03	-0.64	0.42	0.6		0.38	-0.82	-0.87	0.66
Net Invested Capital	0.64	-0.25	0.62	0.76	-0.57	0.48	0.51	-0.68	0.81	0.85	0.48	-0.33	0.73	0.8	0.65	0.02	-0.08	0.82	0.63	0.38		0.15	-0.49	0.77
Net Working Capital	0.02	0.38	-0.59	-0.39	0.37	-0.19	0.05	-0.01	-0.28	0.51	-0.72	-0.16	-0.22	0.03	-0.17	0.04	0.55	0.03	-0.25	-0.82	0.15		0.61	-0.23
Long Term Investments	-0.1	0.49	-0.71	-0.68	0.6	-0.13	-0.16	0.42	-0.61	0.0	-0.81	0.05	-0.51	-0.24	-0.25	0.06	0.52	-0.29	-0.32	-0.87	-0.49	0.61		-0.5
Capital Stock	0.63	-0.61	0.75	0.89	-0.91	0.79	0.72	-0.76	0.89	0.68	0.72	-0.4	0.81	0.87	0.71	0.0	-0.52	0.92	0.94	0.66	0.77	-0.23	-0.5

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	0.0558	(0.22)	(0.24)	(0.12)	0.008525	0.008951
Net Debt	6.5B	8.5B	10.9B	12.7B	14.3B	15.0B
Total Current Liabilities	3.6B	1.9B	3.7B	5.1B	6.0B	6.3B
Non Current Liabilities Total	6.6B	12.1B	12.6B	13.4B	13.2B	13.8B
Total Assets	16.7B	18.4B	18.7B	18.6B	19.5B	11.5B
Total Current Assets	730.1M	3.6B	3.3B	1.9B	1.3B	805.6M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	1.8B	(2.6B)	(2.5B)	210.0M	2.0B	2.1B

	Return On Equity	0.7
	Return On Asset	0.044
	Profit Margin	0.06 %
	Operating Margin	0.25 %
	Current Valuation	24.91 B
	Shares Outstanding	439.71 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.60 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	75.39 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	23.91 M
	Price To Earning	12.65 X
	Price To Book	10.43 X
	Price To Sales	1.27 X
	Revenue	8.55 B
	Gross Profit	576.67 M
	EBITDA	1.75 B
	Net Income	166.18 M
	Cash And Equivalents	1.19 B
	Cash Per Share	2.82 X
	Total Debt	14.73 B
	Current Ratio	0.46 X
	Book Value Per Share	2.58 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	2.01 B
	Short Ratio	2.17 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.14 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.33 X
	Target Price	29.49
	Number Of Employees	41 K
	Beta	2.68
	Market Capitalization	11.84 B
	Total Asset	19.49 B
	Retained Earnings	(6.9 B)
	Working Capital	(4.73 B)
	Current Asset	340.41 M
	Current Liabilities	2.37 B
	Net Asset	19.49 B

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Norwegian Cruise Line Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Norwegian Cruise Line Company probability of distress Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Norwegian Cruise Probability Of Bankruptcy

Norwegian Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Norwegian Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Norwegian Cruise Main Bankruptcy Drivers

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