Navigator Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

NVGS Stock  USD 15.66  0.06  0.38%   
This module uses fundamental data of Navigator Holdings to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Navigator Holdings M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Navigator Holdings Piotroski F Score and Navigator Holdings Altman Z Score analysis.
For more information on how to buy Navigator Stock please use our How to Invest in Navigator Holdings guide.
  
At this time, Navigator Holdings' Net Debt To EBITDA is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to gain to 0.25 in 2024, whereas Net Debt is likely to drop slightly above 529.7 M in 2024. At this time, Navigator Holdings' Intangibles To Total Assets are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Debt To EBITDA is likely to gain to 3.02 in 2024, whereas Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.01 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Navigator Holdings is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Navigator Holdings' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Navigator Holdings executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Navigator Holdings' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.55
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

2.07

Focus
Asset Quality

-0.15

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.07

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.39

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.07

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.76

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.51

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.07

Focus

Navigator Holdings Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Navigator Holdings' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables74.6 M71 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue279.8 M550.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.5 B2.2 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets135.5 M255.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.4 B1.9 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment1.5 BB
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization135.7 M129.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative32.8 M31.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities103.2 M185.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total565.4 M784.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt82.2 M121.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt658.7 M732.3 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities183.4 M174.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments124.9 M174.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.430.3096
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile

Navigator Holdings Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Navigator Holdings' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Navigator Holdings in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Navigator Holdings' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Navigator Holdings Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

135.66 Million

At this time, Navigator Holdings' Depreciation And Amortization is comparatively stable compared to the past year.

Navigator Holdings Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Navigator Holdings. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables33.0M46.8M31.9M45.4M71.0M74.6M
Total Revenue301.4M332.5M403.6M473.8M550.7M279.8M
Total Assets1.9B1.8B2.2B2.1B2.2B1.5B
Total Current Assets126.4M136.5M213.7M228.3M255.4M135.5M
Net Debt750.8M733.4M796.5M657.3M698.8M529.7M
Short Term Debt65.9M68.2M149.3M99.2M121.2M82.2M
Long Term Debt744.7M720.3M771.0M596.5M732.3M658.7M
Operating Income32.6M41.8M56.4M(70.5M)137.2M144.1M
Investments(89.3M)(17.4M)12.2M35.6M(177.1M)(168.3M)
Gross Profit Margin0.230.210.190.220.310.43

Navigator Holdings ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Navigator Holdings' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Navigator Holdings' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Navigator Holdings Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Navigator Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Navigator Holdings using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Navigator Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Navigator Stock Analysis

When running Navigator Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Navigator Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navigator Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Navigator Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navigator Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navigator Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navigator Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.