Nextcure Stock Beneish M Score

NXTC Stock  USD 1.17  0.03  2.50%   
This module uses fundamental data of NextCure to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. NextCure M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out NextCure Piotroski F Score and NextCure Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade NextCure Stock refer to our How to Trade NextCure Stock guide.
  
At present, NextCure's Debt To Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Debt To Assets is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is forecasted to decline to about 4.4 M. At present, NextCure's Book Value Per Share is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's PB Ratio is expected to grow to 0.29, whereas Free Cash Flow Yield is projected to grow to (1.61).
At this time, it appears that NextCure is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if NextCure's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by NextCure executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of NextCure's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-5.68
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

N/A

Focus
Asset Quality

0.6

Focus
Expense Coverage

N/A

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.89

Focus
Accruals Factor

N/A

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.12

Focus
Net Sales Growth

N/A

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

4.13

Focus

NextCure Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if NextCure's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables825 K800 K
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Assets217.6 M128 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets200.8 M112.7 M
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total16.8 M15.3 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment13.8 M13.7 M
Slightly Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization3.2 M3.7 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative14.9 M19.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities9.6 M6.9 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total6.4 M6.7 M
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term DebtM656 K
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt1.6 M2.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.80.9
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile

NextCure Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between NextCure's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards NextCure in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find NextCure's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About NextCure Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

3.22 Million

At present, NextCure's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

NextCure Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as NextCure. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Total Assets356.2M306.6M242.4M184.2M128.0M217.6M
Total Current Assets340.0M288.0M227.8M164.0M112.7M200.8M
Non Current Assets Total16.2M18.7M14.6M20.2M15.3M16.8M
Property Plant Equipment12.1M15.8M14.0M11.9M13.7M13.8M
Depreciation And Amortization2.7M3.4M4.3M4.1M3.7M3.2M
Selling General Administrative9.6M17.0M20.6M21.7M19.7M14.9M
Total Current Liabilities15.0M10.3M6.6M9.1M6.9M9.6M
Non Current Liabilities Total19.6M2.6M2.4M7.5M6.7M6.4M
Net Debt(29.0M)(29.3M)(12.3M)(19.5M)(6.5M)(6.8M)
Short Term Debt514K1.8M1.7M518K656K1.0M
Operating Income(37.5M)(41.2M)(70.8M)(75.9M)(67.6M)(71.0M)
Total Cash From Operating Activities(35.6M)(45.0M)(57.2M)(53.9M)(53.0M)(55.6M)
Investments(303.9M)50.7M39.0M68.0M39.6M41.6M
Short Term Investments300.5M250.7M207.3M133.3M95.2M155.1M

About NextCure Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze NextCure's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of NextCure using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of NextCure based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether NextCure offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NextCure's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nextcure Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nextcure Stock:
Check out NextCure Piotroski F Score and NextCure Altman Z Score analysis.
For information on how to trade NextCure Stock refer to our How to Trade NextCure Stock guide.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NextCure. If investors know NextCure will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NextCure listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.10)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(1.00)
Return On Assets
(0.31)
Return On Equity
(0.55)
The market value of NextCure is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NextCure that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NextCure's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NextCure's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NextCure's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NextCure's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NextCure's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NextCure is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NextCure's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.