Old Dominion Freight Stock Z Score

ODFL Stock  USD 225.14  1.03  0.46%   
Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Old Dominion Piotroski F Score and Old Dominion Valuation analysis.
  
At this time, Old Dominion's Capital Expenditure Coverage Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. At this time, Old Dominion's Net Income is quite stable compared to the past year. Income Tax Expense is expected to rise to about 428.7 M this year, although the value of Tax Provision will most likely fall to about 287.5 M.

Old Dominion Freight Company Z Score Analysis

Old Dominion's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

 = 

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

 = 

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

 = 

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

 = 

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

 = 

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

 = 

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Old Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Old Dominion is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Old Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Old Dominion's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Old Dominion's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Old Dominion's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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0.460.45-0.330.450.440.490.470.420.04-0.060.31-0.250.460.450.060.42-0.480.370.5-0.4-0.20.110.250.25
0.240.27-0.640.270.030.210.130.46-0.620.170.26-0.470.14-0.070.060.34-0.40.250.11-0.23-0.50.130.330.01
0.90.91-0.780.910.830.90.830.86-0.350.180.75-0.60.860.510.420.34-0.760.880.83-0.94-0.67-0.030.760.73
-0.74-0.740.64-0.75-0.71-0.76-0.69-0.670.080.06-0.660.76-0.75-0.54-0.48-0.4-0.76-0.54-0.770.690.33-0.1-0.37-0.28
0.830.82-0.710.820.690.780.80.85-0.3-0.130.73-0.350.790.560.370.250.88-0.540.78-0.83-0.670.160.630.69
0.790.78-0.510.780.830.790.80.65-0.07-0.130.73-0.50.830.680.50.110.83-0.770.78-0.77-0.490.060.410.48
-0.95-0.960.78-0.96-0.9-0.94-0.87-0.870.38-0.13-0.610.53-0.93-0.43-0.4-0.23-0.940.69-0.83-0.770.670.04-0.77-0.85
-0.65-0.660.65-0.66-0.45-0.62-0.57-0.70.77-0.22-0.450.28-0.59-0.23-0.2-0.5-0.670.33-0.67-0.490.67-0.06-0.68-0.61
0.190.2-0.360.210.070.090.130.29-0.08-0.52-0.14-0.10.220.150.110.13-0.03-0.10.160.060.04-0.060.05-0.01
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.
Competition

Based on the company's disclosures, Old Dominion Freight has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Ground Transportation sector and 100.0% lower than that of the Industrials industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Old Dominion Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Old Dominion from analyzing Old Dominion's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Old Dominion's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Old Dominion's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Market Cap10.1B15.3B23.1B32.1B44.4B46.6B
Enterprise Value10.0B15.0B22.8B32.0B44.1B46.3B

Old Dominion ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Old Dominion's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Old Dominion's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Old Dominion Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Old Dominion that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Old Dominion's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Old Dominion's value.
Shares
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
2.6 M
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
2.5 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
2.4 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
1.7 M
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
1.4 M
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
1.4 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Lazard Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
22.3 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2024-06-30
16.3 M

Old Fundamentals

About Old Dominion Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Old Dominion Freight's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Old Dominion using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Old Dominion Freight based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Old Dominion Freight is a strong investment it is important to analyze Old Dominion's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Old Dominion's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Old Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Dominion. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Dominion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Dividend Share
0.98
Earnings Share
5.72
Revenue Per Share
27.363
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
The market value of Old Dominion Freight is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Dominion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Dominion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Dominion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Dominion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Dominion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Dominion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Dominion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.