Okyo Pharma Ltd Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

OKYO Stock  USD 1.06  0.01  0.93%   
OKYO Pharma's chance of distress is over 50% at this time. It has a moderate odds of going through some financial crisis in the next 2 years. Odds of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the OKYO balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out OKYO Pharma Piotroski F Score and OKYO Pharma Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of the 16th of December 2024, Market Cap is likely to drop to about 41 M. In addition to that, Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 40.2 M

OKYO Pharma Ltd Company odds of distress Analysis

OKYO Pharma's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current OKYO Pharma Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Over 51%  
Most of OKYO Pharma's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, OKYO Pharma Ltd is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of OKYO Pharma probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting OKYO Pharma odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of OKYO Pharma Ltd financial health.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OKYO Pharma. If investors know OKYO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OKYO Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.57)
Return On Assets
(2.92)
Return On Equity
(29.69)
The market value of OKYO Pharma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OKYO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OKYO Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OKYO Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OKYO Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OKYO Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OKYO Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OKYO Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OKYO Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

OKYO Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for OKYO Pharma is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of OKYO Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since OKYO Pharma's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of OKYO Pharma's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of OKYO Pharma's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, OKYO Pharma Ltd has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 51%. This is 17.81% higher than that of the Biotechnology sector and 7.0% lower than that of the Health Care industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 28.04% lower than that of the firm.

OKYO Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses OKYO Pharma's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of OKYO Pharma could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OKYO Pharma by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
OKYO Pharma is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

OKYO Pharma Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets(2.58)(0.47)(1.26)(2.55)(0.0109)(0.0115)
Net Debt(203.3K)(6.8M)(2.7M)(1.8M)(826.8K)(868.2K)
Total Current Liabilities710.7K1.7M1.4M7.3M7.4M7.8M
Total Assets597.4K7.1M4.3M5.2M1.5M1.5M
Total Current Assets566.7K7.0M4.3M5.2M1.5M1.5M
Total Cash From Operating Activities(1.2M)(1.6M)(5.5M)(7.7M)(9.5M)(9.0M)

OKYO Fundamentals

About OKYO Pharma Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze OKYO Pharma Ltd's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of OKYO Pharma using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of OKYO Pharma Ltd based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with OKYO Pharma

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if OKYO Pharma position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in OKYO Pharma will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against OKYO Stock

  0.38MRK Merck Company Fiscal Year End 6th of February 2025 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to OKYO Pharma could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace OKYO Pharma when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back OKYO Pharma - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling OKYO Pharma Ltd to buy it.
The correlation of OKYO Pharma is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as OKYO Pharma moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if OKYO Pharma moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for OKYO Pharma can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether OKYO Pharma offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of OKYO Pharma's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Okyo Pharma Ltd Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Okyo Pharma Ltd Stock:
Check out OKYO Pharma Piotroski F Score and OKYO Pharma Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OKYO Pharma. If investors know OKYO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OKYO Pharma listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.57)
Return On Assets
(2.92)
Return On Equity
(29.69)
The market value of OKYO Pharma is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OKYO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OKYO Pharma's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OKYO Pharma's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OKYO Pharma's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OKYO Pharma's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OKYO Pharma's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OKYO Pharma is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OKYO Pharma's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.