Oak Valley Bancorp Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

OVLY Stock  USD 27.98  0.37  1.34%   
Oak Valley's odds of distress is below 1% at this time. The company is very unlikely to encounter any financial crisis in the next two years. Probability of bankruptcy shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Oak balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Oak Valley Piotroski F Score and Oak Valley Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is likely to rise to about 258.7 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to rise to about 69.6 M in 2024

Oak Valley Bancorp Company probability of bankruptcy Analysis

Oak Valley's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Oak Valley Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 1%  
Most of Oak Valley's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Oak Valley Bancorp is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Oak Valley probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Oak Valley odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Oak Valley Bancorp financial health.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oak Valley. If investors know Oak will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oak Valley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share
0.45
Earnings Share
3.01
Revenue Per Share
9.433
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.045
Return On Assets
0.0134
The market value of Oak Valley Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oak that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oak Valley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oak Valley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oak Valley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oak Valley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oak Valley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oak Valley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oak Valley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oak Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Oak Valley is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Oak Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Oak Valley's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Oak Valley's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Oak Valley's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Oak Valley Bancorp has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is 98.0% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 97.49% higher than that of the company.

Oak Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Oak Valley's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Oak Valley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oak Valley by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Oak Valley is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Oak Valley Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01090.0090550.0083160.01160.01670.0176
Net Debt(133.8M)(193.6M)(735.3M)(415.8M)(180.1M)(171.1M)
Total Current Liabilities15.3M14.0M14.9M27.4M1.5B1.6B
Non Current Liabilities Total109.6M149.6M214.5M27.4M1.7B1.8B
Total Assets1.1B1.5B2.0B2.0B1.8B1.9B
Total Current Assets327.4M416.4M1.0B997.4M69.2M65.7M
Total Cash From Operating Activities17.2M19.2M11.3M23.3M33.1M34.7M

Oak Valley ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Oak Valley's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Oak Valley's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Oak Fundamentals

About Oak Valley Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Oak Valley Bancorp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Oak Valley using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oak Valley Bancorp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Oak Stock Analysis

When running Oak Valley's price analysis, check to measure Oak Valley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oak Valley is operating at the current time. Most of Oak Valley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oak Valley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oak Valley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oak Valley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.