Provident Financial Services Stock Z Score

PFS Stock

USD 20.36 0.05 0.25%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Provident Financial Piotroski F Score and Provident Financial Valuation analysis.

At this time, Provident Financial's Capital Expenditures is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Long Term Debt To Capitalization is likely to gain to 0.50 in 2024, whereas Net Invested Capital is likely to drop slightly above 3 B in 2024. At this time, Provident Financial's Interest Expense is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 212.1 M in 2024, whereas Total Revenue is likely to drop slightly above 296.6 M in 2024.

Provident Financial Services Company Z Score Analysis

Provident Financial's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Provident Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Provident Financial is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Provident Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Provident Financial's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Provident Financial's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Provident Financial's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Net Debt	Net Receivables	Total Current Assets	Common Stock	Treasury Stock	Short Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Earning Assets	Net Invested Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		0.98	0.95	0.82	0.42	0.85	0.46	0.23	-0.36	0.61	0.13	0.92	-0.16	0.68	0.63	-0.06	0.93	0.16	-0.36	-0.11	-0.66	0.77	-0.2	-0.12
Total Stockholder Equity	0.98		0.91	0.8	0.5	0.92	0.47	0.19	-0.2	0.59	0.21	0.84	-0.06	0.74	0.53	0.01	0.89	0.2	-0.33	0.02	-0.68	0.65	-0.28	-0.12
Retained Earnings	0.95	0.91		0.81	0.34	0.73	0.35	0.28	-0.43	0.45	0.1	0.94	-0.32	0.59	0.67	-0.21	0.96	0.18	-0.4	-0.19	-0.76	0.84	-0.17	-0.18
Accounts Payable	0.82	0.8	0.81		0.18	0.67	0.12	0.18	-0.61	0.51	-0.01	0.83	-0.46	0.71	0.71	-0.21	0.87	0.08	-0.8	-0.4	-0.64	0.79	-0.02	-0.63
Long Term Debt	0.42	0.5	0.34	0.18		0.69	0.18	0.62	0.48	0.58	0.93	0.25	0.58	0.59	-0.1	0.45	0.23	0.86	0.0	0.33	-0.13	0.02	0.27	0.02
Good Will	0.85	0.92	0.73	0.67	0.69		0.38	0.35	0.09	0.69	0.47	0.67	0.18	0.89	0.21	0.33	0.67	0.33	-0.28	0.05	-0.46	0.46	-0.1	-0.14
Short Term Investments	0.46	0.47	0.35	0.12	0.18	0.38		-0.1	0.11	0.23	-0.06	0.2	0.33	0.03	0.15	-0.01	0.29	-0.14	0.39	0.15	-0.2	0.15	-0.57	0.54
Total Liab	0.23	0.19	0.28	0.18	0.62	0.35	-0.1		0.1	0.44	0.72	0.33	0.29	0.46	-0.15	0.37	0.1	0.65	-0.15	-0.33	-0.03	0.34	0.73	-0.21
Intangible Assets	-0.36	-0.2	-0.43	-0.61	0.48	0.09	0.11	0.1		-0.08	0.57	-0.59	0.81	0.01	-0.8	0.53	-0.55	0.31	0.62	0.54	0.35	-0.68	-0.08	0.46
Property Plant Equipment	0.61	0.59	0.45	0.51	0.58	0.69	0.23	0.44	-0.08		0.43	0.51	0.15	0.67	0.26	0.36	0.43	0.4	-0.36	-0.21	0.08	0.44	0.24	-0.19
Net Debt	0.13	0.21	0.1	-0.01	0.93	0.47	-0.06	0.72	0.57	0.43		0.03	0.57	0.48	-0.32	0.53	-0.04	0.9	0.01	0.25	0.05	-0.15	0.49	-0.07
Net Receivables	0.92	0.84	0.94	0.83	0.25	0.67	0.2	0.33	-0.59	0.51	0.03		-0.41	0.6	0.7	-0.13	0.92	0.11	-0.49	-0.27	-0.67	0.88	0.03	-0.26
Total Current Assets	-0.16	-0.06	-0.32	-0.46	0.58	0.18	0.33	0.29	0.81	0.15	0.57	-0.41		0.04	-0.59	0.48	-0.41	0.39	0.59	0.43	0.29	-0.49	0.0	0.49
Common Stock	0.68	0.74	0.59	0.71	0.59	0.89	0.03	0.46	0.01	0.67	0.48	0.6	0.04		0.09	0.41	0.54	0.33	-0.54	-0.18	-0.35	0.46	0.19	-0.48
Treasury Stock	0.63	0.53	0.67	0.71	-0.1	0.21	0.15	-0.15	-0.8	0.26	-0.32	0.7	-0.59	0.09		-0.62	0.8	0.0	-0.56	-0.17	-0.57	0.66	-0.2	-0.3
Short Term Debt	-0.06	0.01	-0.21	-0.21	0.45	0.33	-0.01	0.37	0.53	0.36	0.53	-0.13	0.48	0.41	-0.62		-0.33	0.22	0.21	0.12	0.37	-0.28	0.33	0.13
Net Tangible Assets	0.93	0.89	0.96	0.87	0.23	0.67	0.29	0.1	-0.55	0.43	-0.04	0.92	-0.41	0.54	0.8	-0.33		0.11	-0.51	-0.15	-0.79	0.82	-0.24	-0.28
Long Term Debt Total	0.16	0.2	0.18	0.08	0.86	0.33	-0.14	0.65	0.31	0.4	0.9	0.11	0.39	0.33	0.0	0.22	0.11		-0.15	0.23	-0.06	-0.03	0.5	-0.18
Capital Surpluse	-0.36	-0.33	-0.4	-0.8	0.0	-0.28	0.39	-0.15	0.62	-0.36	0.01	-0.49	0.59	-0.54	-0.56	0.21	-0.51	-0.15		0.5	0.32	-0.53	-0.31	0.95
Long Term Investments	-0.11	0.02	-0.19	-0.4	0.33	0.05	0.15	-0.33	0.54	-0.21	0.25	-0.27	0.43	-0.18	-0.17	0.12	-0.15	0.23	0.5		-0.04	-0.64	-0.32	0.51
Short Long Term Debt	-0.66	-0.68	-0.76	-0.64	-0.13	-0.46	-0.2	-0.03	0.35	0.08	0.05	-0.67	0.29	-0.35	-0.57	0.37	-0.79	-0.06	0.32	-0.04		-0.54	0.34	0.21
Earning Assets	0.77	0.65	0.84	0.79	0.02	0.46	0.15	0.34	-0.68	0.44	-0.15	0.88	-0.49	0.46	0.66	-0.28	0.82	-0.03	-0.53	-0.64	-0.54		0.04	-0.35
Net Invested Capital	-0.2	-0.28	-0.17	-0.02	0.27	-0.1	-0.57	0.73	-0.08	0.24	0.49	0.03	0.0	0.19	-0.2	0.33	-0.24	0.5	-0.31	-0.32	0.34	0.04		-0.42
Capital Stock	-0.12	-0.12	-0.18	-0.63	0.02	-0.14	0.54	-0.21	0.46	-0.19	-0.07	-0.26	0.49	-0.48	-0.3	0.13	-0.28	-0.18	0.95	0.51	0.21	-0.35	-0.42

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Provident Financial

Based on the company's disclosures, Provident Financial Services has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Banks sector and about the same as Financials (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Provident Z Score Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Provident Financial's direct or indirect competition against its Z Score to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Provident Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Provident Financial by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Provident Financial is currently under evaluation in z score category among its peers.

Provident Financial Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Provident Financial from analyzing Provident Financial's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Provident Financial's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Provident Financial's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Market Cap	1.6B	1.2B	1.9B	1.6B	1.3B	975.3M
Enterprise Value	2.5B	1.9B	1.8B	2.8B	2.6B	1.8B

Provident Financial ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Provident Financial's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Provident Financial's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Provident Financial Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Provident Financial that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Provident Financial's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Provident Financial's value.

		Shares
Northern Trust Corp	2024-09-30	1.5 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp	2024-09-30	1.5 M
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc	2024-09-30	929.9 K
Basswood Capital Management Llc	2024-09-30	892.7 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2024-09-30	795.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc	2024-09-30	749.7 K
Jane Street Group Llc	2024-06-30	745.4 K
Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc	2024-09-30	679.7 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc	2024-09-30	672.8 K
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	17.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	14.6 M

Provident Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0445
	Return On Asset	0.005
	Profit Margin	0.18 %
	Operating Margin	0.48 %
	Current Valuation	5.11 B
	Shares Outstanding	130.49 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.80 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	69.20 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	2.94 M
	Price To Earning	12.34 X
	Price To Book	1.01 X
	Price To Sales	5.11 X
	Revenue	451.38 M
	Gross Profit	496.95 M
	EBITDA	2.95 M
	Net Income	128.4 M
	Cash And Equivalents	381.36 M
	Cash Per Share	5.13 X
	Total Debt	1.46 B
	Debt To Equity	0.30 %
	Book Value Per Share	20.09 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	173.4 M
	Short Ratio	4.56 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.01 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	1.84 X
	Target Price	23.5
	Number Of Employees	1.11 K
	Beta	1.02
	Market Capitalization	2.69 B
	Total Asset	14.21 B
	Retained Earnings	974.54 M
	Annual Yield	0.05 %
	Five Year Return	4.16 %
	Net Asset	14.21 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.96

About Provident Financial Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Provident Financial Services's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Provident Financial using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Provident Financial Services based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis

When running Provident Financial's price analysis, check to measure Provident Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Provident Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Provident Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Provident Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Provident Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Provident Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Provident Financial Services Stock Z Score

Provident Financial Services Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Provident Z Score Driver Correlations

Provident Z Score Peer Comparison

Provident Financial Current Valuation Drivers

Provident Financial ESG Sustainability

Provident Financial Institutional Holders

Provident Fundamentals

About Provident Financial Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Provident Stock Analysis

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