Cpi Card Group Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

PMTS Stock

USD 34.30 0.60 1.78%

CPI Card's odds of distress is less than 5% at this time. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. CPI Card's Probability of financial unrest is determined by interpolating and adjusting CPI Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the CPI balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out CPI Card Piotroski F Score and CPI Card Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 163.3 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 387.7 M in 2024

CPI Card Group Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

CPI Card's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current CPI Card Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of CPI Card's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, CPI Card Group is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of CPI Card probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting CPI Card odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of CPI Card Group financial health.

Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CPI Card. If investors know CPI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CPI Card listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.67)

Earnings Share

1.3

Revenue Per Share

40.86

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.178

Return On Assets

0.1131

The market value of CPI Card Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CPI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CPI Card's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CPI Card's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CPI Card's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CPI Card's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between CPI Card's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CPI Card is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CPI Card's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CPI Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for CPI Card is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of CPI Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since CPI Card's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of CPI Card's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of CPI Card's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt	Deferred Long Term Liab	Short Long Term Debt	Property Plant Equipment	Long Term Debt Total	Capital Surpluse	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		-0.22	-0.29	0.75	0.61	0.29	0.78	0.47	0.81	0.83	0.11	0.12	0.45	-0.19	0.64	-0.11	0.11	0.61	-0.35	0.01	0.52	0.66	-0.36
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.22		0.42	-0.77	0.46	-0.24	-0.29	-0.06	-0.72	-0.29	-0.23	-0.02	-0.26	0.88	-0.82	0.36	-0.24	0.32	-0.43	-0.66	0.46	0.01	-0.23
Current Deferred Revenue	-0.29	0.42		-0.49	0.13	-0.36	-0.59	0.35	-0.5	-0.5	0.53	0.36	0.31	0.31	-0.46	0.78	0.52	0.03	0.28	0.07	0.06	-0.42	0.45
Net Debt	0.75	-0.77	-0.49		0.18	0.29	0.66	0.3	0.98	0.65	0.23	0.09	0.5	-0.72	0.97	-0.27	0.24	0.23	-0.1	0.29	0.01	0.36	-0.22
Retained Earnings	0.61	0.46	0.13	0.18		-0.08	0.37	0.27	0.19	0.4	0.13	0.03	0.42	0.31	0.1	0.31	0.13	0.86	-0.78	-0.61	0.75	0.49	-0.64
Accounts Payable	0.29	-0.24	-0.36	0.29	-0.08		0.55	-0.2	0.36	0.49	-0.38	-0.31	-0.21	0.12	0.27	-0.45	-0.38	-0.07	0.03	0.37	0.11	0.34	0.02
Net Receivables	0.78	-0.29	-0.59	0.66	0.37	0.55		-0.09	0.7	0.94	-0.3	-0.38	0.03	-0.06	0.58	-0.53	-0.29	0.51	-0.35	0.12	0.52	0.84	-0.34
Good Will	0.47	-0.06	0.35	0.3	0.27	-0.2	-0.09		0.31	-0.05	0.41	0.89	0.71	-0.32	0.19	0.63	0.41	0.11	0.2	0.1	-0.11	-0.28	0.23
Total Liab	0.81	-0.72	-0.5	0.98	0.19	0.36	0.7	0.31		0.74	0.19	0.07	0.45	-0.65	0.95	-0.31	0.2	0.22	-0.09	0.29	0.11	0.45	-0.24
Total Current Assets	0.83	-0.29	-0.5	0.65	0.4	0.49	0.94	-0.05	0.74		-0.14	-0.41	0.09	-0.06	0.6	-0.52	-0.14	0.56	-0.32	0.14	0.61	0.92	-0.35
Short Term Debt	0.11	-0.23	0.53	0.23	0.13	-0.38	-0.3	0.41	0.19	-0.14		0.38	0.44	-0.33	0.28	0.38	1.0	0.07	0.14	0.19	-0.02	-0.22	0.14
Intangible Assets	0.12	-0.02	0.36	0.09	0.03	-0.31	-0.38	0.89	0.07	-0.41	0.38		0.51	-0.33	0.01	0.67	0.38	-0.24	0.3	0.02	-0.36	-0.61	0.27
Common Stock	0.45	-0.26	0.31	0.5	0.42	-0.21	0.03	0.71	0.45	0.09	0.44	0.51		-0.52	0.5	0.64	0.45	0.33	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.1	0.03
Net Tangible Assets	-0.19	0.88	0.31	-0.72	0.31	0.12	-0.06	-0.32	-0.65	-0.06	-0.33	-0.33	-0.52		-0.77	0.02	-0.34	0.29	-0.35	-0.36	0.53	0.23	-0.11
Long Term Debt	0.64	-0.82	-0.46	0.97	0.1	0.27	0.58	0.19	0.95	0.6	0.28	0.01	0.5	-0.77		-0.27	0.29	0.12	-0.04	0.29	0.0	0.34	-0.24
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.11	0.36	0.78	-0.27	0.31	-0.45	-0.53	0.63	-0.31	-0.52	0.38	0.67	0.64	0.02	-0.27		0.37	0.07	0.15	-0.22	-0.04	-0.51	0.23
Short Long Term Debt	0.11	-0.24	0.52	0.24	0.13	-0.38	-0.29	0.41	0.2	-0.14	1.0	0.38	0.45	-0.34	0.29	0.37		0.07	0.13	0.2	-0.04	-0.23	0.14
Property Plant Equipment	0.61	0.32	0.03	0.23	0.86	-0.07	0.51	0.11	0.22	0.56	0.07	-0.24	0.33	0.29	0.12	0.07	0.07		-0.71	-0.34	0.69	0.64	-0.45
Long Term Debt Total	-0.35	-0.43	0.28	-0.1	-0.78	0.03	-0.35	0.2	-0.09	-0.32	0.14	0.3	0.03	-0.35	-0.04	0.15	0.13	-0.71		0.74	-0.55	-0.48	0.89
Capital Surpluse	0.01	-0.66	0.07	0.29	-0.61	0.37	0.12	0.1	0.29	0.14	0.19	0.02	0.04	-0.36	0.29	-0.22	0.2	-0.34	0.74		-0.42	-0.12	0.78
Net Invested Capital	0.52	0.46	0.06	0.01	0.75	0.11	0.52	-0.11	0.11	0.61	-0.02	-0.36	-0.01	0.53	0.0	-0.04	-0.04	0.69	-0.55	-0.42		0.81	-0.51
Net Working Capital	0.66	0.01	-0.42	0.36	0.49	0.34	0.84	-0.28	0.45	0.92	-0.22	-0.61	-0.1	0.23	0.34	-0.51	-0.23	0.64	-0.48	-0.12	0.81		-0.49
Capital Stock	-0.36	-0.23	0.45	-0.22	-0.64	0.02	-0.34	0.23	-0.24	-0.35	0.14	0.27	0.03	-0.11	-0.24	0.23	0.14	-0.45	0.89	0.78	-0.51	-0.49

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict CPI Card

Based on the latest financial disclosure, CPI Card Group has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals sector and 88.61% lower than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

CPI Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses CPI Card's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of CPI Card could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CPI Card by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

CPI Card is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

CPI Card Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.0203)	0.0606	0.0595	0.12	0.0817	0.0858
Net Debt	289.1M	279.1M	282.9M	280.2M	259.9M	279.7M
Total Current Liabilities	39.8M	56.9M	64.8M	68.0M	49.4M	50.4M
Non Current Liabilities Total	326.2M	347.3M	324.4M	310.7M	296.2M	331.4M
Total Assets	213.5M	266.2M	268.1M	296.7M	293.7M	276.3M
Total Current Assets	92.2M	152.5M	145.7M	167.6M	165.4M	124.5M
Total Cash From Operating Activities	2.8M	22.0M	20.2M	31.3M	34.0M	19.5M

CPI Card ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, CPI Card's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to CPI Card's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

CPI Fundamentals

	Return On Asset	0.11
	Profit Margin	0.03 %
	Operating Margin	0.14 %
	Current Valuation	656.57 M
	Shares Outstanding	11.16 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.78 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	65.19 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	102.32 K
	Price To Earning	17.09 X
	Price To Sales	0.83 X
	Revenue	444.55 M
	Gross Profit	184.8 M
	EBITDA	77.31 M
	Net Income	23.98 M
	Cash And Equivalents	9.05 M
	Cash Per Share	0.80 X
	Total Debt	272.31 M
	Debt To Equity	(4.24) %
	Current Ratio	2.56 X
	Book Value Per Share	(3.83) X
	Cash Flow From Operations	34.04 M
	Short Ratio	2.46 X
	Earnings Per Share	1.30 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	(8.08) X
	Target Price	36.5
	Number Of Employees	1.45 K
	Beta	1.21
	Market Capitalization	382.77 M
	Total Asset	293.68 M
	Retained Earnings	50.28 M
	Working Capital	115.93 M
	Current Asset	101.02 M
	Current Liabilities	42.02 M
	Net Asset	293.68 M

About CPI Card Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze CPI Card Group's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of CPI Card using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of CPI Card Group based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for CPI Stock Analysis

When running CPI Card's price analysis, check to measure CPI Card's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CPI Card is operating at the current time. Most of CPI Card's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CPI Card's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CPI Card's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CPI Card to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Cpi Card Group Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

CPI Card Group Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current CPI Card Probability Of Bankruptcy

CPI Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

CPI Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

CPI Card Main Bankruptcy Drivers

CPI Card ESG Sustainability

CPI Fundamentals

About CPI Card Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for CPI Stock Analysis

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