Richards Packaging Income Stock Beneish M Score

RPI-UN Stock  CAD 29.75  0.06  0.20%   
This module uses fundamental data of Richards Packaging to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Richards Packaging M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Richards Packaging Income. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.
  
At present, Richards Packaging's Short and Long Term Debt Total is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Debt is expected to grow to about 54.1 M, whereas Short Term Debt is forecasted to decline to about 17.8 M. At present, Richards Packaging's Dividend Yield is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Days Sales Outstanding is expected to grow to 47.18, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.68.
At this time, Richards Packaging's M Score is inapplicable. The earnings manipulation may begin if Richards Packaging's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Richards Packaging executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Richards Packaging's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-4.2
Beneish M Score - Inapplicable
Elasticity of Receivables

0.9

Focus
Asset Quality

0.92

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.07

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.71

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.07

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.35

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.68

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.19

Focus

Richards Packaging Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Richards Packaging's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables32.9 M54 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue287.9 M425.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets234.2 M318.2 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets97.1 M142.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total137.1 M175.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment53.2 M50.7 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization8.6 M11.6 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative16.1 M22.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities60.2 M85.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total57.9 M52.7 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Debt54.1 M45.1 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt17.8 M22.6 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt26.3 M18 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Operating Income32.1 M55.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities87.3 M83.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments554.3 K619 K
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.130.1834
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Richards Packaging Income Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Richards Packaging's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Richards Packaging in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Richards Packaging's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Richards Packaging Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

8.58 Million

At present, Richards Packaging's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Richards Packaging Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Richards Packaging. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables32.3M49.8M49.7M55.6M54.0M32.9M
Total Revenue334.1M489.2M451.4M446.9M425.9M287.9M
Total Assets248.0M352.9M356.9M349.9M318.2M234.2M
Total Current Assets103.9M156.7M172.2M170.5M142.6M97.1M
Net Debt50.4M64.9M55.6M95.8M45.1M54.1M
Short Term Debt27M42.0M35.3M26.8M22.6M17.8M
Long Term Debt15.0M23.6M22.7M64.8M18.0M26.3M
Operating Income44.1M93.3M63.6M58.7M55.7M32.1M
Investments(1.8M)(54.6M)(11.5M)(51.1M)(2.7M)(2.8M)

About Richards Packaging Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Richards Packaging Income's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Richards Packaging using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Richards Packaging Income based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Richards Packaging

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Richards Packaging position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Richards Packaging will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Richards Stock

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Moving against Richards Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Richards Packaging could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Richards Packaging when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Richards Packaging - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Richards Packaging Income to buy it.
The correlation of Richards Packaging is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Richards Packaging moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Richards Packaging Income moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Richards Packaging can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Richards Stock

Richards Packaging financial ratios help investors to determine whether Richards Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Richards with respect to the benefits of owning Richards Packaging security.