Sun Country Airlines Stock Beneish M Score

SNCY Stock  USD 14.39  0.03  0.21%   
This module uses fundamental data of Sun Country to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Sun Country M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Sun Country Piotroski F Score and Sun Country Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Sun Country's Interest Debt Per Share is fairly stable compared to the past year. Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is likely to rise to 0.43 in 2024, whereas Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop slightly above 630.6 M in 2024. At this time, Sun Country's Receivables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Graham Number is likely to rise to 17.29 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.79 in 2024.
At this time, it appears that Sun Country Airlines is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Sun Country's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Sun Country executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Sun Country's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.64
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.03

Focus
Asset Quality

1.45

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.18

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

0.55

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.18

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

0.66

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.77

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.9

Focus

Sun Country Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Sun Country's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables30.4 M38.2 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue807.4 MB
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.4 B1.6 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets240.7 M271.4 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total1.2 B1.4 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment422.3 M805.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization75 M89.5 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative30.5 M33.7 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities349.7 M418.6 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total624.7 M690.6 M
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt507.3 M651.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt113.6 M168.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt264.1 M327.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities98.2 M174.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments74.3 M141.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.140.2564
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Sun Country Airlines Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Sun Country's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Sun Country in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Sun Country's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Sun Country Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

75.01 Million

At this time, Sun Country's Depreciation And Amortization is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Sun Country Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Sun Country. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables22.4M28.7M30.2M35.1M38.2M30.4M
Total Current Assets112.5M126.7M375.4M345.5M271.4M240.7M
Investments252K70K(117M)(349.3M)(230.0M)(218.5M)
Gross Profit Margin0.270.04510.220.20.260.14

Sun Country ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Sun Country's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Sun Country's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Sun Country Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Sun Country Airlines's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Sun Country using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sun Country Airlines based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Sun Stock Analysis

When running Sun Country's price analysis, check to measure Sun Country's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sun Country is operating at the current time. Most of Sun Country's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sun Country's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sun Country's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sun Country to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.