Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

UCTT Stock

USD 36.37 1.37 3.91%

Ultra Clean's odds of distress is under 21% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Ultra Clean's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Ultra balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Ultra Clean Piotroski F Score and Ultra Clean Altman Z Score analysis.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 229.4 M in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 304.2 M in 2024

Ultra Clean Holdings Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Ultra Clean's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Ultra Clean Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 21%

Most of Ultra Clean's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Ultra Clean Holdings is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Ultra Clean probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Ultra Clean odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Ultra Clean Holdings financial health.

Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ultra Clean. If investors know Ultra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ultra Clean listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.40)

Earnings Share

0.07

Revenue Per Share

44.273

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.242

Return On Assets

0.0249

The market value of Ultra Clean Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ultra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ultra Clean's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ultra Clean's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ultra Clean's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ultra Clean's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ultra Clean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ultra Clean is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ultra Clean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ultra Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Ultra Clean is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Ultra Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Ultra Clean's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Ultra Clean's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Ultra Clean's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Net Debt	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Good Will	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Common Stock	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Current Deferred Revenue	Treasury Stock	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Debt Total	Deferred Long Term Liab	Capital Surpluse	Short Long Term Debt	Long Term Investments	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		1.0	0.91	1.0	0.99	0.99	0.92	0.98	0.97	0.98	0.32	0.94	0.41	0.97	0.06	0.89	-0.5	0.88	0.98	0.98	0.98	0.7	-0.54	0.97	0.94	0.4
Total Stockholder Equity	1.0		0.91	0.99	0.99	0.99	0.91	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.33	0.92	0.4	0.97	0.01	0.89	-0.52	0.89	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.69	-0.56	0.96	0.94	0.42
Net Debt	0.91	0.91		0.91	0.84	0.9	0.7	0.93	0.8	0.92	0.14	0.92	0.15	0.95	0.14	0.85	-0.67	0.83	0.97	0.91	0.94	0.52	-0.69	0.88	0.81	0.31
Total Liab	1.0	0.99	0.91		0.98	0.98	0.92	0.99	0.97	0.98	0.31	0.95	0.43	0.96	0.09	0.88	-0.48	0.86	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.7	-0.52	0.98	0.94	0.39
Total Current Assets	0.99	0.99	0.84	0.98		0.98	0.96	0.95	0.99	0.96	0.36	0.89	0.49	0.94	0.02	0.86	-0.42	0.87	0.94	0.95	0.94	0.76	-0.46	0.97	0.96	0.47
Retained Earnings	0.99	0.99	0.9	0.98	0.98		0.91	0.96	0.96	0.97	0.29	0.91	0.38	0.97	0.1	0.89	-0.52	0.91	0.97	0.98	0.97	0.68	-0.56	0.96	0.94	0.44
Accounts Payable	0.92	0.91	0.7	0.92	0.96	0.91		0.87	0.95	0.88	0.32	0.82	0.57	0.82	0.05	0.84	-0.28	0.76	0.83	0.87	0.84	0.77	-0.32	0.89	0.89	0.39
Long Term Debt	0.98	0.97	0.93	0.99	0.95	0.96	0.87		0.93	0.97	0.25	0.97	0.43	0.95	0.13	0.86	-0.46	0.81	0.98	0.94	0.96	0.64	-0.5	0.98	0.93	0.38
Net Receivables	0.97	0.97	0.8	0.97	0.99	0.96	0.95	0.93		0.94	0.4	0.88	0.59	0.9	-0.03	0.84	-0.32	0.82	0.9	0.92	0.91	0.75	-0.37	0.95	0.95	0.52
Good Will	0.98	0.98	0.92	0.98	0.96	0.97	0.88	0.97	0.94		0.33	0.95	0.39	0.95	0.02	0.9	-0.52	0.83	0.97	0.96	0.96	0.66	-0.56	0.94	0.89	0.33
Short Term Debt	0.32	0.33	0.14	0.31	0.36	0.29	0.32	0.25	0.4	0.33		0.2	0.3	0.27	-0.42	0.07	-0.02	0.26	0.26	0.25	0.27	0.32	-0.01	0.34	0.38	0.26
Intangible Assets	0.94	0.92	0.92	0.95	0.89	0.91	0.82	0.97	0.88	0.95	0.2		0.43	0.89	0.11	0.86	-0.43	0.71	0.95	0.89	0.9	0.51	-0.47	0.92	0.83	0.24
Common Stock	0.41	0.4	0.15	0.43	0.49	0.38	0.57	0.43	0.59	0.39	0.3	0.43		0.21	-0.13	0.31	0.55	0.05	0.28	0.26	0.22	0.39	0.48	0.47	0.49	0.54
Property Plant Equipment	0.97	0.97	0.95	0.96	0.94	0.97	0.82	0.95	0.9	0.95	0.27	0.89	0.21		0.12	0.85	-0.66	0.94	0.99	0.98	1.0	0.66	-0.69	0.95	0.92	0.38
Short Term Investments	0.06	0.01	0.14	0.09	0.02	0.1	0.05	0.13	-0.03	0.02	-0.42	0.11	-0.13	0.12		0.13	-0.05	0.13	0.12	0.11	0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.13	0.12	0.05
Current Deferred Revenue	0.89	0.89	0.85	0.88	0.86	0.89	0.84	0.86	0.84	0.9	0.07	0.86	0.31	0.85	0.13		-0.5	0.77	0.86	0.9	0.86	0.63	-0.53	0.82	0.76	0.27
Treasury Stock	-0.5	-0.52	-0.67	-0.48	-0.42	-0.52	-0.28	-0.46	-0.32	-0.52	-0.02	-0.43	0.55	-0.66	-0.05	-0.5		-0.74	-0.61	-0.62	-0.66	-0.26	0.98	-0.4	-0.36	0.14
Net Tangible Assets	0.88	0.89	0.83	0.86	0.87	0.91	0.76	0.81	0.82	0.83	0.26	0.71	0.05	0.94	0.13	0.77	-0.74		0.88	0.93	0.94	0.69	-0.74	0.84	0.86	0.4
Long Term Debt Total	0.98	0.97	0.97	0.98	0.94	0.97	0.83	0.98	0.9	0.97	0.26	0.95	0.28	0.99	0.12	0.86	-0.61	0.88		0.96	0.99	0.63	-0.63	0.96	0.91	0.34
Deferred Long Term Liab	0.98	0.98	0.91	0.97	0.95	0.98	0.87	0.94	0.92	0.96	0.25	0.89	0.26	0.98	0.11	0.9	-0.62	0.93	0.96		0.99	0.7	-0.65	0.94	0.91	0.35
Capital Surpluse	0.98	0.97	0.94	0.97	0.94	0.97	0.84	0.96	0.91	0.96	0.27	0.9	0.22	1.0	0.11	0.86	-0.66	0.94	0.99	0.99		0.68	-0.68	0.94	0.92	0.34
Short Long Term Debt	0.7	0.69	0.52	0.7	0.76	0.68	0.77	0.64	0.75	0.66	0.32	0.51	0.39	0.66	-0.03	0.63	-0.26	0.69	0.63	0.7	0.68		-0.27	0.71	0.79	0.48
Long Term Investments	-0.54	-0.56	-0.69	-0.52	-0.46	-0.56	-0.32	-0.5	-0.37	-0.56	-0.01	-0.47	0.48	-0.69	-0.06	-0.53	0.98	-0.74	-0.63	-0.65	-0.68	-0.27		-0.42	-0.38	0.1
Net Invested Capital	0.97	0.96	0.88	0.98	0.97	0.96	0.89	0.98	0.95	0.94	0.34	0.92	0.47	0.95	0.13	0.82	-0.4	0.84	0.96	0.94	0.94	0.71	-0.42		0.98	0.47
Net Working Capital	0.94	0.94	0.81	0.94	0.96	0.94	0.89	0.93	0.95	0.89	0.38	0.83	0.49	0.92	0.12	0.76	-0.36	0.86	0.91	0.91	0.92	0.79	-0.38	0.98		0.56
Capital Stock	0.4	0.42	0.31	0.39	0.47	0.44	0.39	0.38	0.52	0.33	0.26	0.24	0.54	0.38	0.05	0.27	0.14	0.4	0.34	0.35	0.34	0.48	0.1	0.47	0.56

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Ultra Clean

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Ultra Clean Holdings has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 21.0%. This is 48.1% lower than that of the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector and 38.74% lower than that of the Information Technology industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 47.28% higher than that of the company.

Ultra Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Ultra Clean's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Ultra Clean could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ultra Clean by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Ultra Clean is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Ultra Clean ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Ultra Clean's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Ultra Clean's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Ultra Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.0142
	Return On Asset	0.0249
	Profit Margin	0 %
	Operating Margin	0.05 %
	Current Valuation	1.99 B
	Shares Outstanding	45.06 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	2.00 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	92.02 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	1.01 M
	Price To Earning	14.56 X
	Price To Book	1.91 X
	Price To Sales	0.83 X
	Revenue	1.73 B
	Gross Profit	465 M
	EBITDA	99.2 M
	Net Income	(31.1 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	421.36 M
	Cash Per Share	9.33 X
	Total Debt	639.9 M
	Debt To Equity	0.70 %
	Current Ratio	2.81 X
	Book Value Per Share	19.02 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	135.9 M
	Short Ratio	2.12 X
	Earnings Per Share	0.07 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.37 X
	Target Price	57.75
	Number Of Employees	6.13 K
	Beta	2.08
	Market Capitalization	1.64 B
	Total Asset	1.87 B
	Retained Earnings	346.7 M
	Working Capital	583.2 M
	Current Asset	209.03 M
	Current Liabilities	85.02 M
	Net Asset	1.87 B

About Ultra Clean Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Ultra Clean Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Ultra Clean using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ultra Clean Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Ultra Stock Analysis

When running Ultra Clean's price analysis, check to measure Ultra Clean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ultra Clean is operating at the current time. Most of Ultra Clean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ultra Clean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ultra Clean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ultra Clean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Ultra Clean Holdings Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Ultra Clean Holdings Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Ultra Clean Probability Of Bankruptcy

Ultra Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Ultra Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Ultra Clean ESG Sustainability

Ultra Fundamentals

About Ultra Clean Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Ultra Stock Analysis

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