Vistra Energy Corp Stock Z Score

VST Stock

USD 159.84 5.32 3.44%

Altman Z Score is one of the simplest fundamental models to determine how likely your company is to fail. The module uses available fundamental data of a given equity to approximate the Altman Z score. Altman Z Score is determined by evaluating five fundamental price points available from the company's current public disclosure documents. Check out Vistra Energy Piotroski F Score and Vistra Energy Valuation analysis.

At this time, Vistra Energy's Net Invested Capital is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Net Working Capital is likely to gain to about 1.9 B in 2024, whereas Capital Expenditures is likely to drop slightly above 911.2 M in 2024. At this time, Vistra Energy's Tax Provision is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Minority Interest is likely to gain to about 4.3 M in 2024, despite the fact that Net Loss is likely to grow to (1.2 B).

Vistra Energy Corp Company Z Score Analysis

Vistra Energy's Z-Score is a simple linear, multi-factor model that measures the financial health and economic stability of a company. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm going into bankruptcy within next 24 months or two fiscal years from the day stated on the accounting statements used to calculate it. The model uses five fundamental business ratios that are weighted according to algorithm of Professor Edward Altman who developed it in the late 1960s at New York University..

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

More About Z Score | All Equity Analysis

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Vistra Z Score Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Vistra Energy is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Vistra Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Z Score. Since Vistra Energy's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Vistra Energy's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Vistra Energy's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Accounts Payable	Long Term Debt	Net Receivables	Total Liab	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Short Term Investments	Good Will	Net Debt	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Net Tangible Assets	Long Term Investments	Short Long Term Debt	Common Stock	Current Deferred Revenue	Retained Earnings	Long Term Debt Total	Deferred Long Term Liab	Capital Surpluse	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock	Treasury Stock
Total Assets		0.02	0.56	0.37	0.71	0.57	0.48	0.77	0.04	0.05	0.14	0.54	0.24	0.02	0.26	0.24	0.1	0.28	-0.35	0.06	-0.19	0.47	-0.36	0.38	0.03	0.45	-0.45
Total Stockholder Equity	0.02		0.51	-0.41	0.47	-0.8	0.02	-0.3	-0.36	0.03	-0.21	0.3	-0.37	0.87	0.79	0.16	0.88	0.13	-0.43	-0.84	-0.84	0.6	-0.15	0.66	-0.24	0.37	-0.38
Accounts Payable	0.56	0.51		-0.01	0.95	-0.08	0.04	0.17	-0.45	-0.15	0.08	0.72	-0.36	0.52	0.81	0.41	0.57	0.6	-0.75	-0.44	-0.69	0.8	-0.28	0.72	-0.03	0.75	-0.85
Long Term Debt	0.37	-0.41	-0.01		0.11	0.55	0.39	0.36	0.17	-0.02	-0.6	0.09	0.24	-0.35	-0.24	0.22	-0.36	-0.01	0.07	0.35	0.26	-0.08	-0.07	-0.1	0.09	0.0	0.01
Net Receivables	0.71	0.47	0.95	0.11		0.03	0.29	0.28	-0.45	-0.15	0.04	0.72	-0.28	0.5	0.78	0.43	0.56	0.55	-0.7	-0.43	-0.67	0.8	-0.34	0.69	-0.02	0.73	-0.8
Total Liab	0.57	-0.8	-0.08	0.55	0.03		0.23	0.68	0.31	-0.02	0.28	0.14	0.41	-0.69	-0.48	0.08	-0.65	0.04	0.11	0.7	0.55	-0.18	-0.1	-0.28	0.25	0.03	-0.01
Intangible Assets	0.48	0.02	0.04	0.39	0.29	0.23		0.3	-0.1	0.04	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	0.06	-0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.08	0.05	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.0	0.01	-0.02	-0.04	0.05
Property Plant Equipment	0.77	-0.3	0.17	0.36	0.28	0.68	0.3		0.28	0.33	0.2	0.06	0.59	-0.39	-0.23	-0.16	-0.37	0.12	0.2	0.52	0.28	0.03	-0.28	0.1	-0.18	-0.08	0.05
Short Term Investments	0.04	-0.36	-0.45	0.17	-0.45	0.31	-0.1	0.28		-0.06	0.06	-0.38	0.42	-0.31	-0.45	-0.31	-0.34	-0.23	0.29	0.3	0.4	-0.45	0.14	-0.35	-0.07	-0.4	0.4
Good Will	0.05	0.03	-0.15	-0.02	-0.15	-0.02	0.04	0.33	-0.06		-0.26	-0.04	0.8	-0.46	-0.42	-0.37	-0.42	-0.04	0.26	0.49	0.45	-0.3	0.05	-0.31	0.12	-0.18	0.18
Net Debt	0.14	-0.21	0.08	-0.6	0.04	0.28	-0.25	0.2	0.06	-0.26		0.05	-0.15	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	0.11	-0.05	0.09	0.0	0.11	-0.15	0.1	-0.06	0.07	-0.08
Total Current Assets	0.54	0.3	0.72	0.09	0.72	0.14	-0.01	0.06	-0.38	-0.04	0.05		-0.17	0.25	0.55	0.75	0.37	0.33	-0.85	-0.26	-0.48	0.74	-0.31	0.49	0.39	0.96	-0.91
Short Term Debt	0.24	-0.37	-0.36	0.24	-0.28	0.41	0.16	0.59	0.42	0.8	-0.15	-0.17		-0.71	-0.67	-0.42	-0.68	-0.13	0.4	0.73	0.71	-0.5	0.11	-0.53	0.19	-0.32	0.33
Net Tangible Assets	0.02	0.87	0.52	-0.35	0.5	-0.69	0.06	-0.39	-0.31	-0.46	-0.05	0.25	-0.71		0.9	0.28	0.99	0.14	-0.47	-0.98	-0.96	0.66	-0.16	0.74	-0.32	0.37	-0.39
Long Term Investments	0.26	0.79	0.81	-0.24	0.78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.23	-0.45	-0.42	0.02	0.55	-0.67	0.9		0.45	0.92	0.42	-0.69	-0.86	-0.97	0.85	-0.27	0.81	-0.16	0.65	-0.69
Short Long Term Debt	0.24	0.16	0.41	0.22	0.43	0.08	-0.07	-0.16	-0.31	-0.37	-0.03	0.75	-0.42	0.28	0.45		0.34	0.04	-0.59	-0.32	-0.49	0.72	-0.52	0.57	0.11	0.72	-0.57
Common Stock	0.1	0.88	0.57	-0.36	0.56	-0.65	0.07	-0.37	-0.34	-0.42	-0.02	0.37	-0.68	0.99	0.92	0.34		0.18	-0.58	-0.98	-0.97	0.71	-0.19	0.74	-0.23	0.48	-0.48
Current Deferred Revenue	0.28	0.13	0.6	-0.01	0.55	0.04	-0.08	0.12	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	0.33	-0.13	0.14	0.42	0.04	0.18		-0.49	-0.1	-0.24	0.24	-0.31	0.18	-0.23	0.26	-0.45
Retained Earnings	-0.35	-0.43	-0.75	0.07	-0.7	0.11	0.05	0.2	0.29	0.26	-0.05	-0.85	0.4	-0.47	-0.69	-0.59	-0.58	-0.49		0.51	0.62	-0.66	0.15	-0.45	-0.23	-0.87	0.89
Long Term Debt Total	0.06	-0.84	-0.44	0.35	-0.43	0.7	-0.07	0.52	0.3	0.49	0.09	-0.26	0.73	-0.98	-0.86	-0.32	-0.98	-0.1	0.51		0.93	-0.6	0.09	-0.63	0.19	-0.4	0.4
Deferred Long Term Liab	-0.19	-0.84	-0.69	0.26	-0.67	0.55	-0.03	0.28	0.4	0.45	0.0	-0.48	0.71	-0.96	-0.97	-0.49	-0.97	-0.24	0.62	0.93		-0.84	0.3	-0.86	0.25	-0.58	0.58
Capital Surpluse	0.47	0.6	0.8	-0.08	0.8	-0.18	-0.04	0.03	-0.45	-0.3	0.11	0.74	-0.5	0.66	0.85	0.72	0.71	0.24	-0.66	-0.6	-0.84		-0.54	0.89	-0.1	0.77	-0.71
Cash And Equivalents	-0.36	-0.15	-0.28	-0.07	-0.34	-0.1	0.0	-0.28	0.14	0.05	-0.15	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-0.27	-0.52	-0.19	-0.31	0.15	0.09	0.3	-0.54		-0.54	0.52	-0.17	0.08
Net Invested Capital	0.38	0.66	0.72	-0.1	0.69	-0.28	0.01	0.1	-0.35	-0.31	0.1	0.49	-0.53	0.74	0.81	0.57	0.74	0.18	-0.45	-0.63	-0.86	0.89	-0.54		-0.41	0.52	-0.5
Net Working Capital	0.03	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.25	-0.02	-0.18	-0.07	0.12	-0.06	0.39	0.19	-0.32	-0.16	0.11	-0.23	-0.23	-0.23	0.19	0.25	-0.1	0.52	-0.41		0.47	-0.42
Capital Stock	0.45	0.37	0.75	0.0	0.73	0.03	-0.04	-0.08	-0.4	-0.18	0.07	0.96	-0.32	0.37	0.65	0.72	0.48	0.26	-0.87	-0.4	-0.58	0.77	-0.17	0.52	0.47		-0.96
Treasury Stock	-0.45	-0.38	-0.85	0.01	-0.8	-0.01	0.05	0.05	0.4	0.18	-0.08	-0.91	0.33	-0.39	-0.69	-0.57	-0.48	-0.45	0.89	0.4	0.58	-0.71	0.08	-0.5	-0.42	-0.96

Click cells to compare fundamentals

To calculate a Z-Score, one would need to know a company's current working capital, its total assets and liabilities, and the amount of its latest earnings as well as earnings before interest and tax. Z-Scores can be used to compare the odds of bankruptcy of companies in a similar line of business or firms operating in the same industry. Companies with Z-Scores above 3.1 are generally considered to be stable and healthy with a low probability of bankruptcy. Scores that fall between 1.8 and 3.1 lie in a so-called 'grey area,' with scores of less than 1 indicating the highest probability of distress. Z Score is a used widely measure by financial auditors, accountants, money managers, loan processors, wealth advisers, and day traders. In the last 25 years, many financial models that utilize z-scores proved it to be successful as a predictor of corporate bankruptcy.

Competition

Predict Vistra Energy

As per the company's disclosures, Vistra Energy Corp has a Z Score of 0.0. This is 100.0% lower than that of the Independent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers sector and about the same as Utilities (which currently averages 0.0) industry. The z score for all United States stocks is 100.0% higher than that of the company.

Vistra Energy Current Valuation Drivers

We derive many important indicators used in calculating different scores of Vistra Energy from analyzing Vistra Energy's financial statements. These drivers represent accounts that assess Vistra Energy's ability to generate profits relative to its revenue, operating costs, and shareholders' equity. Below are some of Vistra Energy's important valuation drivers and their relationship over time.

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Market Cap	11.4B	9.6B	11.0B	9.8B	14.2B	8.6B
Enterprise Value	22.4B	19.1B	20.7B	22.7B	25.4B	16.3B

Vistra Energy ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Vistra Energy's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Vistra Energy's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Vistra Energy Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Vistra Energy that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Vistra Energy's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Vistra Energy's value.

		Shares
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp	2024-06-30	3.8 M
Franklin Resources Inc	2024-09-30	3.3 M
Jpmorgan Chase & Co	2024-06-30	3.3 M
Third Point, Llc	2024-09-30	3.2 M
Neuberger Berman Group Llc	2024-06-30	3.1 M
Lsv Asset Management	2024-09-30	2.9 M
Coatue Management Llc	2024-09-30	2.8 M
Bank Of America Corp	2024-06-30	2.8 M
Hhg Plc	2024-06-30	2.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc	2024-09-30	43.7 M
Blackrock Inc	2024-06-30	27.2 M

Vistra Fundamentals

	Return On Equity	0.3
	Return On Asset	0.0641
	Profit Margin	0.13 %
	Operating Margin	0.41 %
	Current Valuation	69.95 B
	Shares Outstanding	340.23 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	0.62 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	89.75 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	8.73 M
	Price To Earning	31.55 X
	Price To Book	17.73 X
	Price To Sales	3.23 X
	Revenue	14.78 B
	Gross Profit	1.68 B
	EBITDA	4.57 B
	Net Income	1.49 B
	Cash And Equivalents	455 M
	Cash Per Share	1.54 X
	Total Debt	14.68 B
	Debt To Equity	2.32 %
	Current Ratio	1.10 X
	Book Value Per Share	8.70 X
	Cash Flow From Operations	5.45 B
	Short Ratio	1.38 X
	Earnings Per Share	5.32 X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	0.90 X
	Target Price	157.46
	Number Of Employees	4.87 K
	Beta	1.11
	Market Capitalization	52.57 B
	Total Asset	32.97 B
	Retained Earnings	(2.61 B)
	Working Capital	1.81 B
	Current Asset	3.07 B
	Current Liabilities	2.89 B
	Annual Yield	0.01 %
	Net Asset	32.97 B
	Last Dividend Paid	0.87

About Vistra Energy Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vistra Energy Corp's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vistra Energy using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vistra Energy Corp based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.

Explore Investing Ideas

Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis

When running Vistra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vistra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vistra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vistra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vistra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vistra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vistra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

Macroaxis helps investors of all levels and skills to maximize the upside of all their holdings and minimize the risk associated with market volatility, economic swings, and company-specific events. View terms and conditions

Feedback Blog

Made with optimal in San Francisco

2024 Macroaxis LLC

Vistra Energy Corp Stock Z Score

Vistra Energy Corp Company Z Score Analysis

Z Score

Sum Of

5 Factors

First Factor

1.2 * (

Working Capital

/

Total Assets )

Second Factor

1.4 * (

Retained Earnings

/

Total Assets )

Thrid Factor

3.3 * (

EBITAD

/

Total Assets )

Fouth Factor

0.6 * (

Market Value of Equity

/

Total Liabilities )

Fifth Factor

0.99 * (

Revenue

/

Total Assets )

Vistra Z Score Driver Correlations

Vistra Energy Current Valuation Drivers

Vistra Energy ESG Sustainability

Vistra Energy Institutional Holders

Vistra Fundamentals

About Vistra Energy Fundamental Analysis

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Additional Tools for Vistra Stock Analysis

COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY