Wayfair Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

W Stock

USD 43.75 0.85 1.91%

Wayfair's likelihood of distress is under 38% at this time. It has slight risk of undergoing some form of financial distress in the near future. Wayfair's Odds of financial turmoil is determined by interpolating and adjusting Wayfair Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Wayfair balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Wayfair Piotroski F Score and Wayfair Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy Wayfair Stock please use our How to Invest in Wayfair guide.

Market Cap is likely to drop to about 2.6 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to drop to about 2.3 B in 2024

Wayfair Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Wayfair's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Wayfair Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 38%

Most of Wayfair's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Wayfair is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Wayfair probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Wayfair odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Wayfair financial health.

Is Homefurnishing Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wayfair. If investors know Wayfair will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wayfair listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.55)

Earnings Share

(4.46)

Revenue Per Share

98.087

Quarterly Revenue Growth

(0.02)

Return On Assets

(0.08)

The market value of Wayfair is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wayfair that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wayfair's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wayfair's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wayfair's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wayfair's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wayfair's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wayfair is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wayfair's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wayfair Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Wayfair is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Wayfair Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Wayfair's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Wayfair's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Wayfair's interrelated accounts and indicators.

	Total Assets	Total Stockholder Equity	Current Deferred Revenue	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Net Receivables	Good Will	Short Term Investments	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Short Term Debt	Intangible Assets	Property Plant Equipment	Net Tangible Assets	Capital Surpluse	Common Stock	Long Term Investments	Long Term Debt Total	Short Long Term Debt	Cash And Equivalents	Net Invested Capital	Net Working Capital	Capital Stock
Total Assets		-0.78	0.99	0.81	-0.77	0.97	0.86	-0.86	0.78	0.93	0.98	0.6	0.91	0.77	-0.84	0.58	0.82	-0.5	0.94	0.33	0.89	0.85	0.33	-0.59
Total Stockholder Equity	-0.78		-0.74	-0.99	0.99	-0.85	-0.83	0.78	-0.33	-0.95	-0.71	-0.86	-0.76	-0.97	0.99	-0.57	-0.94	0.5	-0.92	-0.33	-0.79	-0.55	0.19	0.89
Current Deferred Revenue	0.99	-0.74		0.76	-0.72	0.96	0.84	-0.85	0.8	0.91	0.99	0.57	0.85	0.75	-0.8	0.54	0.78	-0.56	0.91	0.36	0.88	0.87	0.4	-0.56
Net Debt	0.81	-0.99	0.76		-0.97	0.85	0.86	-0.79	0.43	0.95	0.73	0.81	0.82	0.95	-0.98	0.58	0.9	-0.39	0.91	0.29	0.75	0.59	-0.16	-0.87
Retained Earnings	-0.77	0.99	-0.72	-0.97		-0.84	-0.76	0.8	-0.29	-0.94	-0.69	-0.9	-0.75	-0.96	0.98	-0.67	-0.93	0.45	-0.89	-0.37	-0.8	-0.5	0.27	0.83
Accounts Payable	0.97	-0.85	0.96	0.85	-0.84		0.88	-0.89	0.66	0.94	0.93	0.68	0.89	0.83	-0.9	0.67	0.89	-0.52	0.96	0.36	0.89	0.72	0.15	-0.65
Net Receivables	0.86	-0.83	0.84	0.86	-0.76	0.88		-0.74	0.65	0.86	0.81	0.53	0.8	0.81	-0.88	0.43	0.8	-0.47	0.9	0.25	0.7	0.64	0.13	-0.79
Good Will	-0.86	0.78	-0.85	-0.79	0.8	-0.89	-0.74		-0.55	-0.87	-0.81	-0.74	-0.76	-0.8	0.83	-0.65	-0.78	0.44	-0.81	-0.44	-0.76	-0.63	-0.04	0.6
Short Term Investments	0.78	-0.33	0.8	0.43	-0.29	0.66	0.65	-0.55		0.58	0.81	0.09	0.75	0.35	-0.42	0.25	0.36	-0.16	0.58	0.09	0.47	0.83	0.66	-0.24
Total Liab	0.93	-0.95	0.91	0.95	-0.94	0.94	0.86	-0.87	0.58		0.89	0.8	0.86	0.94	-0.97	0.59	0.9	-0.54	0.96	0.37	0.88	0.76	0.07	-0.78
Total Current Assets	0.98	-0.71	0.99	0.73	-0.69	0.93	0.81	-0.81	0.81	0.89		0.54	0.84	0.72	-0.77	0.45	0.76	-0.57	0.9	0.32	0.88	0.91	0.48	-0.55
Short Term Debt	0.6	-0.86	0.57	0.81	-0.9	0.68	0.53	-0.74	0.09	0.8	0.54		0.54	0.89	-0.84	0.52	0.83	-0.5	0.72	0.55	0.66	0.38	-0.32	-0.77
Intangible Assets	0.91	-0.76	0.85	0.82	-0.75	0.89	0.8	-0.76	0.75	0.86	0.84	0.54		0.69	-0.8	0.64	0.75	-0.16	0.86	0.16	0.73	0.73	0.17	-0.53
Property Plant Equipment	0.77	-0.97	0.75	0.95	-0.96	0.83	0.81	-0.8	0.35	0.94	0.72	0.89	0.69		-0.97	0.5	0.92	-0.58	0.89	0.39	0.75	0.56	-0.16	-0.93
Net Tangible Assets	-0.84	0.99	-0.8	-0.98	0.98	-0.9	-0.88	0.83	-0.42	-0.97	-0.77	-0.84	-0.8	-0.97		-0.6	-0.93	0.52	-0.94	-0.35	-0.82	-0.6	0.13	0.87
Capital Surpluse	0.58	-0.57	0.54	0.58	-0.67	0.67	0.43	-0.65	0.25	0.59	0.45	0.52	0.64	0.5	-0.6		0.57	0.01	0.56	0.35	0.61	0.19	-0.36	-0.21
Common Stock	0.82	-0.94	0.78	0.9	-0.93	0.89	0.8	-0.78	0.36	0.9	0.76	0.83	0.75	0.92	-0.93	0.57		-0.54	0.95	0.32	0.83	0.53	-0.1	-0.83
Long Term Investments	-0.5	0.5	-0.56	-0.39	0.45	-0.52	-0.47	0.44	-0.16	-0.54	-0.57	-0.5	-0.16	-0.58	0.52	0.01	-0.54		-0.54	-0.41	-0.66	-0.5	-0.32	0.52
Long Term Debt Total	0.94	-0.92	0.91	0.91	-0.89	0.96	0.9	-0.81	0.58	0.96	0.9	0.72	0.86	0.89	-0.94	0.56	0.95	-0.54		0.29	0.89	0.72	0.12	-0.78
Short Long Term Debt	0.33	-0.33	0.36	0.29	-0.37	0.36	0.25	-0.44	0.09	0.37	0.32	0.55	0.16	0.39	-0.35	0.35	0.32	-0.41	0.29		0.39	0.18	-0.08	-0.24
Cash And Equivalents	0.89	-0.79	0.88	0.75	-0.8	0.89	0.7	-0.76	0.47	0.88	0.88	0.66	0.73	0.75	-0.82	0.61	0.83	-0.66	0.89	0.39		0.72	0.22	-0.52
Net Invested Capital	0.85	-0.55	0.87	0.59	-0.5	0.72	0.64	-0.63	0.83	0.76	0.91	0.38	0.73	0.56	-0.6	0.19	0.53	-0.5	0.72	0.18	0.72		0.67	-0.42
Net Working Capital	0.33	0.19	0.4	-0.16	0.27	0.15	0.13	-0.04	0.66	0.07	0.48	-0.32	0.17	-0.16	0.13	-0.36	-0.1	-0.32	0.12	-0.08	0.22	0.67		0.19
Capital Stock	-0.59	0.89	-0.56	-0.87	0.83	-0.65	-0.79	0.6	-0.24	-0.78	-0.55	-0.77	-0.53	-0.93	0.87	-0.21	-0.83	0.52	-0.78	-0.24	-0.52	-0.42	0.19

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The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Predict Wayfair

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Wayfair has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 38.0%. This is 8.19% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 4.59% higher than that of the company.

Wayfair Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Wayfair's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Wayfair could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wayfair by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Wayfair is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among its peers.

Wayfair Main Bankruptcy Drivers

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Return On Assets	(0.33)	0.0405	(0.0287)	(0.37)	(0.21)	(0.22)
Asset Turnover	3.09	3.1	3.0	3.41	3.46	3.84
Net Debt	1.7B	1.4B	2.2B	3.1B	2.9B	3.0B
Total Current Liabilities	1.6B	2.2B	2.2B	2.1B	2.2B	1.2B
Non Current Liabilities Total	2.3B	3.6B	4.0B	4.1B	4.0B	4.2B
Total Assets	3.0B	4.6B	4.6B	3.6B	3.5B	2.3B
Total Current Assets	1.4B	3.0B	3.0B	1.9B	1.9B	1.4B
Total Cash From Operating Activities	(196.8M)	1.4B	410M	(674M)	349M	366.5M

Wayfair ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Wayfair's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Wayfair's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environmental

Governance

Social

Wayfair Fundamentals

	Return On Asset	-0.0806
	Profit Margin	(0.05) %
	Operating Margin	(0.03) %
	Current Valuation	8.21 B
	Shares Outstanding	99.63 M
	Shares Owned By Insiders	5.45 %
	Shares Owned By Institutions	94.55 %
	Number Of Shares Shorted	17.69 M
	Price To Earning	18.33 X
	Price To Sales	0.47 X
	Revenue	12 B
	Gross Profit	3.42 B
	EBITDA	(295 M)
	Net Income	(738 M)
	Cash And Equivalents	1.05 B
	Cash Per Share	12.02 X
	Total Debt	4.2 B
	Debt To Equity	0.33 %
	Current Ratio	1.02 X
	Book Value Per Share	(22.11) X
	Cash Flow From Operations	349 M
	Short Ratio	2.94 X
	Earnings Per Share	(4.46) X
	Price To Earnings To Growth	23.50 X
	Target Price	55.59
	Number Of Employees	12.8 K
	Beta	3.47
	Market Capitalization	5.59 B
	Total Asset	3.47 B
	Retained Earnings	(4.02 B)
	Working Capital	(328 M)
	Current Asset	492.32 M
	Current Liabilities	397.03 M
	Net Asset	3.47 B

About Wayfair Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Wayfair's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Wayfair using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wayfair based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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Additional Tools for Wayfair Stock Analysis

When running Wayfair's price analysis, check to measure Wayfair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wayfair is operating at the current time. Most of Wayfair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wayfair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wayfair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wayfair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Wayfair Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Wayfair Company odds of financial turmoil Analysis

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Normalized

Z-Score

Current Wayfair Probability Of Bankruptcy

Wayfair Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Wayfair Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Wayfair Main Bankruptcy Drivers

Wayfair ESG Sustainability

Wayfair Fundamentals

About Wayfair Fundamental Analysis

Also Currently Popular

Additional Tools for Wayfair Stock Analysis

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