Will BiodesixInc (USA Stocks:BDSX) price increase in November 2023?

Biodesix Inc. (NASDAQ: BDSX), a key player in the Healthcare sector, has shown remarkable resilience in the face of a challenging market environment. Despite a loss of $50.5M in EBIT and a negative profit margin of 1.59%, the company's stock has been climbing steadily. The company's total liabilities stand at $72.3M, with other current liabilities amounting to $18.6M. Despite these challenges, Biodesix has managed to maintain a working capital of $30.5M, underlining its financial strength. The company's market capitalization is currently at $120.7M, with 4.5M shares floating in the market. Despite a negative EPS estimate of $0.54 for the next year and $0.18 for the next quarter, the stock has a short ratio of 1.82, indicating investor confidence. With 245 employees and 42.1M common stock shares outstanding, Biodesix's resilience is noteworthy. However, investors should keep an eye on the company's cash and equivalents, which stand at $15.18M, and its cash per share, which is at 0.36X. While many millennials are increasingly interested in the biotechnology sector, it's worthwhile to delve into Biodesix Inc. We will examine why investors might still consider acquiring a stake in the business. Is the company's valuation sustainable? In this article, I will provide an analysis of Biodesix Inc's valuation to give you a clearer perspective on whether to invest in this stock.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

Despite the challenging market conditions, Biodesix Inc. (BDSX) has shown remarkable resilience, steadily climbing in value. From a valuation perspective, the company's current valuation stands at 148.28M, which, when compared to its market capitalization of 120.7M, indicates a potential undervaluation. This discrepancy may present an attractive entry point for investors. However, it's worth noting that the company's Z score of -4.25 suggests a potential risk of bankruptcy in the near future. Additionally, Biodesix reported a loss of 0.67 per share for the current year, which could be a concern for potential investors. Despite these challenges, the company's resilience amidst a market downturn could make it a worthwhile consideration for risk-tolerant investors.

Rigorous look on BiodesixInc

The company, Biodesix Inc, currently has $31.85 million in liabilities, with a Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.2. This indicates that Biodesix Inc significantly relies on borrowed funds to finance its operations. We offer trading advice that aligns with the prevailing expert consensus on Biodesix Inc. Our advanced recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's growth potential. This analysis is based on all available technical and fundamental data at the time.
We determine the current worth of Biodesix using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Biodesix based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Biodesix's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Biodesix's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Biodesix. We calculate exposure to Biodesix's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Biodesix's related companies.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Biodesix on a daily basis if you are holding a position in it. Biodesix is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other stocks. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Biodesix stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Biodesix stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

Biodesix Investment Alerts

Biodesix investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Biodesix performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Biodesix

Biodesix Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Biodesix value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Biodesix competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Biodesix.

Biodesix Gross Profit

Biodesix Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Biodesix previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Biodesix Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Biodesix's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Another Deeper Perspective

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 38.21 M. Net Loss for the year was (65.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.06 M.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Interest Expense7.6 M4.51 M8.07 M7.27 M
Gross Profit23.56 M23.99 M24.06 M24.95 M

Margins Breakdown

BiodesixInc profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or BiodesixInc itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of BiodesixInc profit margins.
EBITDA Margin(1.46)
Gross Margin0.59
Profit Margin(1.85)
BiodesixInc Average Assets is fairly stable at the moment. Also, BiodesixInc Average Equity is increasing over the last 5 years. The previous year's value of BiodesixInc Average Equity was 8,943,125. Despite the general market downturn, Biodesix Inc. (BDSX) has demonstrated a remarkable resilience, with its stock steadily climbing. The company, which trades on the NASDAQ, has a current valuation of $148.28M, with a total of 4.5M shares floating in the market.
Interestingly, the number of shares shorted has decreased from 229.5K in the previous month to 143.9K, indicating a growing confidence among investors. However, Biodesix's financials reveal a challenging picture. The company reported a net income loss of $65.4M and an operating income loss of $50.5M, largely due to total operating expenses of $74.6M. The cost of revenue stood at $14.2M, contributing to a negative operating margin of -1.24. Despite this, Biodesix managed to maintain an end period cash flow of $43.2M and net assets of $92.91M. The company's current ratio stands at 0.64X, indicating a potential liquidity risk. However, Biodesix seems to be managing its debts well with short and long-term debt totaling $31.9M, significantly lower than its total assets of $92.9M. Despite the challenges, Wall Street has set a target price of $4.25 for the stock, hinting at its potential upside. With a downside deviation of 6.19, investors need to carefully consider the risks associated with this stock. .

Will BiodesixInc pull back in November 2023?

The potential upside for Biodesix Inc. has recently been revised to 10.2, indicating a possible decrease in volatility. This suggests that the stock may face a pullback in November 2023. Investors are advised to closely monitor this situation, as a decrease in volatility often signals an impending price correction. Despite the potential for short-term turbulence, the company's long-term prospects remain solid. As always, investors should conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. As of October 22, Biodesix Inc. displays a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0808, a downside deviation of 6.19, and a Mean Deviation of 4.72. Biodesix Inc.'s technical analysis provides a methodology to utilize historical prices and volume patterns to predict the direction of the company's future prices. In other words, this information can be used to determine if the company will mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or if the prices will eventually revert.
We have been able to interpolate and collect nineteen technical drivers for Biodesix Inc., which can be compared to its competitors. Please verify Biodesix Inc.'s coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and skewness to determine if Biodesix Inc. is priced correctly, assuming the market reflects its regular price of 1.71 per share. Also, please recheck Biodesix Inc.'s total risk alpha, which currently stands at 1.89, to confirm the company's sustainability in the future. Despite the modest market slide, BiodesixInc (BDSX) continues to exhibit a slow but steady rise. The company's real value is currently estimated at 2.45, which is significantly higher than its market value of 1.71. This discrepancy indicates a potential undervaluation, making it an attractive buy for investors. The overall analyst consensus for BDSX is a 'Buy', with a target price estimated value of 5, further reinforcing its investment potential. However, investors should be mindful of the fact that there is only one analyst estimate available, which may limit the diversity of perspectives on the stock's future performance. As we approach the fiscal year end in December, investors should keep a close eye on BDSX's performance and consider it as a potential addition to their portfolios. .

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