Is Arvinas Stock a Good Investment?

Arvinas Investment Advice

  ARVN
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Arvinas stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Arvinas. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Arvinas in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Arvinas' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Arvinas' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Arvinas navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Pharmaceuticals space and any emerging trends that could impact Arvinas' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Arvinas' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Arvinas is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Arvinas pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Arvinas' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Arvinas stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Arvinas is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Strong Sell
Our investment recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Arvinas. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Arvinas is not overpriced, please confirm all Arvinas fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Arvinas has a price to earning of (0.45) X, we suggest you to validate Arvinas market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Arvinas Stock

Researching Arvinas' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Arvinas was presently reported as 8.53. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.28. Arvinas recorded a loss per share of 4.79. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Arvinas is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Arvinas' research are outlined below:
Arvinas had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 78.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (367.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 131.4 M.
Arvinas currently holds about 1.27 B in cash with (347.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 23.87.
Arvinas has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Arvinas Announces Upcoming Vepdegestrant Poster Presentations at the 2024 San Antonio Breast ...
Arvinas uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Arvinas. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Arvinas' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
22nd of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
3rd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
22nd of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arvinas' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Arvinas' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-08-04
2020-06-30-0.59-0.65-0.0610 
2019-03-26
2018-12-31-0.61-0.520.0914 
2020-11-05
2020-09-30-0.68-0.79-0.1116 
2019-08-05
2019-06-30-0.4-0.55-0.1537 
2021-08-05
2021-06-30-0.86-1.03-0.1719 
2022-02-28
2021-12-31-0.79-1.0-0.2126 
2021-03-01
2020-12-31-0.78-0.99-0.2126 
2024-10-30
2024-09-30-0.96-0.680.2829 

Arvinas Target Price Consensus

Arvinas target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arvinas' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   21  Strong Buy
Most Arvinas analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Arvinas stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Arvinas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Arvinas Target Price Projection

Arvinas' current and average target prices are 26.72 and 65.00, respectively. The current price of Arvinas is the price at which Arvinas is currently trading. On the other hand, Arvinas' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Arvinas Market Quote on 30th of November 2024

Low Price25.85Odds
High Price27.0Odds

26.72

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Arvinas Target Price

Low Estimate59.15Odds
High Estimate72.15Odds

65.0

Historical Lowest Forecast  59.15 Target Price  65.0 Highest Forecast  72.15
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Arvinas and the information provided on this page.

Arvinas Analyst Ratings

Arvinas' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Arvinas stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Arvinas' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Arvinas' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Arvinas' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Arvinas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arvinas backward and forwards among themselves. Arvinas' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Arvinas' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.6 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
Avidity Partners Management Lp2024-09-30
1.5 M
New Leaf Venture Partners, L.l.c.2024-09-30
1.4 M
Nextech Invest Ag2024-09-30
1.4 M
Braidwell Lp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Opaleye Management Inc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Arrowmark Colorado Holdings, Llc (arrowmark Partners)2024-09-30
1.2 M
Commodore Capital Lp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
M
Ecor1 Capital, Llc2024-09-30
6.7 M
Note, although Arvinas' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arvinas' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.84 B.

Market Cap

3.17 Billion

Arvinas' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.28)(0.30)
Return On Capital Employed(0.38)(0.40)
Return On Assets(0.28)(0.30)
Return On Equity(0.56)(0.58)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.92) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.59) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.59.
Determining Arvinas' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Arvinas is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Arvinas' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Arvinas' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Arvinas' management efficiency

Arvinas has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2007) % which means that it has lost $0.2007 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5916) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Arvinas' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Arvinas manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 30th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.3. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.4. At this time, Arvinas' Non Currrent Assets Other are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 5.73, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 753.2 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 11.89  7.71 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 11.89  7.71 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(5.00)(5.25)
Price Book Value Ratio 3.46  3.29 
Enterprise Value Multiple(5.00)(5.25)
Price Fair Value 3.46  3.29 
Enterprise Value2.5 B2.6 B
The leadership approach at Arvinas' fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Beta
1.967

Basic technical analysis of Arvinas Stock

As of the 30th of November, Arvinas shows the Downside Deviation of 3.63, mean deviation of 2.59, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0329. Arvinas technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Arvinas' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Arvinas insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Arvinas' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Arvinas insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Arvinas' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Arvinas issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Arvinas uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Arvinas bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Arvinas has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Arvinas' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Arvinas' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Arvinas' intraday indicators

Arvinas intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Arvinas stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Arvinas Corporate Filings

8K
19th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
14th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
27th of June 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F3
26th of June 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
Arvinas time-series forecasting models is one of many Arvinas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arvinas' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Arvinas Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Arvinas that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Arvinas media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Arvinas internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Arvinas data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Arvinas news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Arvinas relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Arvinas' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Arvinas alpha.

Arvinas Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Arvinas can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Arvinas Corporate Management

CPA CPACFO TreasurerProfile
Ian TaylorChief Scientific OfficerProfile
Paul McInultySenior AffairsProfile
Matthew JDGen SecProfile
John GrossoSenior OperationsProfile
Randy TeelSenior DevelopmentProfile

Already Invested in Arvinas?

The danger of trading Arvinas is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Arvinas is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Arvinas. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Arvinas is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Arvinas offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Arvinas' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Arvinas Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Arvinas Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arvinas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
To learn how to invest in Arvinas Stock, please use our How to Invest in Arvinas guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arvinas. If investors know Arvinas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arvinas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(4.79)
Revenue Per Share
2.327
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.96
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.59)
The market value of Arvinas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arvinas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arvinas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arvinas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arvinas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arvinas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Arvinas' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Arvinas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arvinas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.