Is Genesco Stock a Good Investment?

Genesco Investment Advice

  GCO
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Genesco stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Genesco. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Genesco in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Genesco's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Genesco's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Genesco navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Specialty Retail space and any emerging trends that could impact Genesco's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Genesco's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Genesco is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Genesco pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Genesco's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Genesco stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Genesco is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Cautious Hold
Our investment recommendation module can be used to complement Genesco trade recommendations provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the entity's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Genesco is not overpriced, please check out all Genesco fundamentals, including its price to earning, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Genesco has a price to earning of 8.39 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Genesco market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Genesco Stock

Researching Genesco's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Genesco has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.69. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.87. The firm last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 1973. Genesco had 1:1 split on the 15th of March 2006.
To determine if Genesco is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Genesco's research are outlined below:
Genesco had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.32 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (16.83 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.14 B.
Genesco has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Genesco Inc Trading 5.45 percent Higher on Nov 27

Genesco Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

1.38 Billion

Genesco uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Genesco. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Genesco's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
23rd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
14th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Genesco's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Genesco's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2018-06-05
2018-04-30-0.07-0.060.0114 
2017-08-31
2017-07-31-0.08-0.1-0.0225 
2009-08-27
2009-07-31-0.04-0.020.0250 
2009-08-27
2009-05-31-0.04-0.020.0250 
2003-05-22
2003-04-300.130.150.0215 
1995-02-28
1994-11-300.170.190.0211 
2006-08-24
2006-07-310.210.240.0314 
2006-08-24
2006-05-310.210.240.0314 

Know Genesco's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Genesco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genesco backward and forwards among themselves. Genesco's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Genesco's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
220.8 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
194.5 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
187.3 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2024-06-30
150.5 K
Man Group Plc2024-09-30
146.6 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
111.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
109.9 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
103.5 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
103 K
Pzena Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.2 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
1.1 M
Note, although Genesco's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Genesco's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 376.94 M.

Market Cap

290.84 Million

Genesco's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.01) 0.08 
Return On Capital Employed(0.01) 0.14 
Return On Assets(0.01) 0.06 
Return On Equity(0.03) 0.10 
Determining Genesco's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Genesco is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Genesco's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Genesco's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Genesco's management efficiency

As of the 30th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to grow to 0.08. Also, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.14. At this time, Genesco's Return On Tangible Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Intangibles To Total Assets is likely to grow to 0.25, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 839.9 M. Genesco's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Genesco manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 50.81  42.42 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 47.53  25.80 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 22.65  6.54 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.57  1.68 
Enterprise Value Multiple 22.65  6.54 
Price Fair Value 0.57  1.68 
Enterprise Value342.9 M332.9 M
Genesco showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Beta
2.411

Basic technical analysis of Genesco Stock

As of the 30th of November, Genesco retains the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0532, downside deviation of 3.66, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1135. Genesco technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Genesco's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Genesco insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Genesco's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Genesco insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Genesco's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Genesco issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Genesco uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Genesco bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Genesco has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Genesco's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Genesco's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Genesco's intraday indicators

Genesco intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Genesco stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Genesco Corporate Filings

15th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
7th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of October 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
Genesco time-series forecasting models is one of many Genesco's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Genesco's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Genesco Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Genesco that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Genesco media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Genesco internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Genesco data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Genesco news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Genesco relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Genesco's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Genesco alpha.

Genesco Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Genesco can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Genesco Corporate Directors

Kathleen MasonIndependent DirectorProfile
Joanna BarshIndependent DirectorProfile
Thurgood MarshallIndependent DirectorProfile
Matthew DiamondLead Independent DirectorProfile
When determining whether Genesco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Genesco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Genesco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Genesco Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Genesco. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
To learn how to invest in Genesco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Genesco guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genesco. If investors know Genesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Genesco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Earnings Share
(0.87)
Revenue Per Share
210.709
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.004
Return On Assets
0.0035
The market value of Genesco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Genesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Genesco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Genesco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Genesco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Genesco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Genesco's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Genesco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Genesco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.