Is LiveWire Stock a Good Investment?

LiveWire Investment Advice

  LVWR
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on LiveWire Group stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating LiveWire Group. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include LiveWire in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine LiveWire's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research LiveWire's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help LiveWire navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Automotive Parts & Equipment space and any emerging trends that could impact LiveWire's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare LiveWire's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how LiveWire is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if LiveWire pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about LiveWire's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in LiveWire Group stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if LiveWire Group is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on LiveWire Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure LiveWire Group is not overpriced, please verify all LiveWire Group fundamentals, including its cash per share, as well as the relationship between the short ratio and total asset . Given that LiveWire Group has a price to book of 7.22 X, we recommend you to check LiveWire market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine LiveWire Stock

Researching LiveWire's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.51. LiveWire Group had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 27th of September 2022.
To determine if LiveWire is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding LiveWire's research are outlined below:
LiveWire Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LiveWire Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 38.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (109.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.9 M.
LiveWire Group currently holds about 5.37 M in cash with (83.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
LiveWire Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Rusin Amanda P. of 47880 shares of LiveWire subject to Rule 16b-3

LiveWire Quarterly Good Will

8.33 Million

LiveWire uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in LiveWire Group. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to LiveWire's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact LiveWire's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises LiveWire's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-04-25
2024-03-31-0.14-0.120.0214 
2024-02-08
2023-12-31-0.14-0.16-0.0214 
2024-07-25
2024-06-30-0.15-0.120.0320 
2024-10-24
2024-09-30-0.17-0.11170.058334 
2023-10-26
2023-09-30-0.14-0.070.0750 
2023-07-27
2023-06-30-0.12-0.2-0.0866 
2023-02-02
2022-12-31-0.19-2.6496-2.45961294 

Know LiveWire's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as LiveWire is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LiveWire Group backward and forwards among themselves. LiveWire's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase LiveWire's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
26.1 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
21.6 K
Rhumbline Advisers2024-09-30
18.2 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-09-30
15.6 K
Citigroup Inc2024-09-30
13.1 K
Pnc Financial Services Group Inc2024-09-30
10.1 K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd.2024-09-30
10 K
Corebridge Financial Inc2024-09-30
9.7 K
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-09-30
9.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
827.1 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
214 K
Note, although LiveWire's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

LiveWire's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 993.89 M.

Market Cap

667.37 Million

LiveWire's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.43)(0.45)
Return On Capital Employed(0.53)(0.55)
Return On Assets(0.41)(0.43)
Return On Equity(0.53)(0.56)
Determining LiveWire's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if LiveWire is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures LiveWire's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of LiveWire's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate LiveWire's management efficiency

LiveWire Group has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.2987) % which means that it has lost $0.2987 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.5542) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. LiveWire's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well LiveWire manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of 12/25/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.45. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.55. At this time, LiveWire's Net Tangible Assets are relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 12/25/2024, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 6.5 M, while Non Current Assets Total are likely to drop slightly above 40.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 1.02  0.59 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 0.97  0.51 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(20.50)(21.52)
Price Book Value Ratio 11.13  10.57 
Enterprise Value Multiple(20.50)(21.52)
Price Fair Value 11.13  10.57 
Enterprise Value515 M457.8 M
Effective management at LiveWire has been a driving force behind its market achievements. We assess the correlation between management practices and financial success to determine the stock's value.
Beta
0.957

Basic technical analysis of LiveWire Stock

As of the 25th of December, LiveWire secures the Mean Deviation of 2.25, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Standard Deviation of 3.06. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of LiveWire Group, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify LiveWire Group market risk adjusted performance and treynor ratio to decide if LiveWire Group is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 4.89 per share. Given that LiveWire Group has information ratio of (0.12), we recommend you to check LiveWire's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

LiveWire's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific LiveWire insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on LiveWire's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases LiveWire insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

LiveWire's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

LiveWire issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. LiveWire Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most LiveWire bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when LiveWire Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand LiveWire's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing LiveWire's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider LiveWire's intraday indicators

LiveWire intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of LiveWire stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

LiveWire Corporate Filings

F4
13th of December 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F3
12th of November 2024
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
24th of October 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
LiveWire time-series forecasting models is one of many LiveWire's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary LiveWire's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

LiveWire Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about LiveWire that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through LiveWire media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via LiveWire internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of LiveWire data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of LiveWire news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of LiveWire relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to LiveWire's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive LiveWire alpha.

LiveWire Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards LiveWire can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

LiveWire Corporate Management

Jeremy NienhuisSupply PlanningProfile
Jon CarterChief OfficerProfile
Erica CaseHead ResourcesProfile
Ryan RaglandHead DesignProfile
Vance StraderChief OfficerProfile
Jon BekefyHead MarketingProfile

Additional Tools for LiveWire Stock Analysis

When running LiveWire's price analysis, check to measure LiveWire's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LiveWire is operating at the current time. Most of LiveWire's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LiveWire's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LiveWire's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LiveWire to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.