Is Trupanion Stock a Good Investment?

Trupanion Investment Advice

  TRUP
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Trupanion stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Trupanion. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Trupanion in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Trupanion's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Trupanion's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Trupanion navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Life & Health Insurance space and any emerging trends that could impact Trupanion's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Trupanion's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Trupanion is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Trupanion pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Trupanion's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Trupanion stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Trupanion is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Our recommendation module provides unbiased trade recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Trupanion. Our recommendation engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Trupanion is not overpriced, please validate all Trupanion fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the cash and equivalents and market capitalization . Given that Trupanion has a number of shares shorted of 8.37 M, we advise you to double-check Trupanion market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails

Examine Trupanion Stock

Researching Trupanion's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.32. Trupanion had not issued any dividends in recent years.
To determine if Trupanion is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Trupanion's research are outlined below:
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.11 B. Net Loss for the year was (44.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 32.69 M.
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Insiders At Trupanion Sold US1.8m In Stock, Alluding To Potential Weakness
Trupanion uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Trupanion. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Trupanion's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
21st of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
2nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
21st of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Trupanion's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Trupanion's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2019-02-13
2018-12-31-0.0067-0.01-0.003349 
2020-04-30
2020-03-31-0.04-0.030.0125 
2020-02-13
2019-12-310.010.020.01100 
2018-05-01
2018-03-31-0.04-0.05-0.0125 
2017-05-02
2017-03-31-0.06-0.050.0116 
2017-02-14
2016-12-31-0.05-0.06-0.0120 
2017-08-01
2017-06-30-0.04-0.020.0250 
2015-08-04
2015-06-30-0.19-0.170.0210 

Know Trupanion's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Trupanion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trupanion backward and forwards among themselves. Trupanion's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Trupanion's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Greenlea Lane Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
786 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
593.2 K
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2024-09-30
554 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
382.1 K
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
344.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
337.7 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
322.9 K
Kopion Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
305.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
5.5 M
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
4.1 M
Note, although Trupanion's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Trupanion's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.28 B.

Market Cap

1.04 Billion

Trupanion's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.07)
Return On Capital Employed(0.09)(0.10)
Return On Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.15)(0.15)
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.01) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.01 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.01.
Determining Trupanion's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Trupanion is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Trupanion's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Trupanion's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Trupanion's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Evaluate Trupanion's management efficiency

As of 11/28/2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.07. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.1. At this time, Trupanion's Total Current Liabilities is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/28/2024, Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to grow to about 822.1 M, while Non Current Liabilities Other is likely to drop slightly above 2.7 M. Trupanion's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Trupanion manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 7.33  7.70 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 5.82  6.11 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA(60.81)(57.77)
Price Book Value Ratio 4.16  6.05 
Enterprise Value Multiple(60.81)(57.77)
Price Fair Value 4.16  6.05 
Enterprise Value1.2 B1.1 B
Trupanion benefits from a management team that prioritizes both innovation and efficiency. We analyze these priorities to gauge the stock's future performance.
Beta
1.695

Basic technical analysis of Trupanion Stock

As of the 28th of November, Trupanion has the Semi Deviation of 2.7, coefficient of variation of 1267.45, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0679. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Trupanion, as well as the relationship between them.

Trupanion's insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Trupanion insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Trupanion's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Trupanion insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Trupanion's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Trupanion issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Trupanion uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Trupanion bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Trupanion has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Trupanion's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Trupanion's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Trupanion's intraday indicators

Trupanion intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Trupanion stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Trupanion Corporate Filings

F4
27th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
12th of November 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
13A
8th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
1st of November 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
Trupanion time-series forecasting models is one of many Trupanion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Trupanion's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Trupanion Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Trupanion that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Trupanion media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Trupanion internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Trupanion data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Trupanion news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Trupanion relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Trupanion's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Trupanion alpha.

Trupanion Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Trupanion can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Trupanion Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Trupanion's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Trupanion. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Trupanion can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Trupanion. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Trupanion's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Trupanion and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Trupanion news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Trupanion.

Trupanion Corporate Management

Fawwad QureshiChief OfficerProfile
Gavin FriedmanExec SecProfile
Andrew MBAChief OfficerProfile
Scott JanzenDirector CommunicationsProfile
John GallagherExecutive ServicesProfile
Christopher KearnsChief OfficerProfile
Brenna McGibneyChief OfficerProfile

Additional Tools for Trupanion Stock Analysis

When running Trupanion's price analysis, check to measure Trupanion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trupanion is operating at the current time. Most of Trupanion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trupanion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trupanion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trupanion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.