Shenzhen Centralcon (China) Market Value

000042 Stock   5.32  0.13  2.50%   
Shenzhen Centralcon's market value is the price at which a share of Shenzhen Centralcon trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment investors about its performance. Shenzhen Centralcon is trading at 5.32 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 2.50 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Shenzhen Centralcon Investment and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Shenzhen Centralcon over a given investment horizon. Check out Shenzhen Centralcon Correlation, Shenzhen Centralcon Volatility and Shenzhen Centralcon Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Shenzhen Centralcon.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Shenzhen Centralcon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shenzhen Centralcon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shenzhen Centralcon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Shenzhen Centralcon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Shenzhen Centralcon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Shenzhen Centralcon.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Shenzhen Centralcon on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Shenzhen Centralcon Investment or generate 0.0% return on investment in Shenzhen Centralcon over 30 days. Shenzhen Centralcon is related to or competes with Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, G-bits Network, BYD Co, Beijing Roborock, Anhui Gujing, and NAURA Technology. Shenzhen Centralcon is entity of China. It is traded as Stock on SHE exchange. More

Shenzhen Centralcon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Shenzhen Centralcon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Shenzhen Centralcon Investment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Shenzhen Centralcon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Shenzhen Centralcon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Shenzhen Centralcon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Shenzhen Centralcon historical prices to predict the future Shenzhen Centralcon's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.765.389.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.304.928.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.845.469.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.865.165.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shenzhen Centralcon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shenzhen Centralcon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shenzhen Centralcon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shenzhen Centralcon.

Shenzhen Centralcon Backtested Returns

Shenzhen Centralcon appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Shenzhen Centralcon owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.2, which indicates the firm had a 0.2% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By inspecting Shenzhen Centralcon's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.73% is justified by implied risk. Please review Shenzhen Centralcon's Coefficient Of Variation of 590.48, risk adjusted performance of 0.1376, and Semi Deviation of 2.91 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Shenzhen Centralcon holds a performance score of 15. The entity has a beta of 0.31, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Shenzhen Centralcon's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Shenzhen Centralcon is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Shenzhen Centralcon's downside deviation, information ratio, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to make a quick decision on whether Shenzhen Centralcon's existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Shenzhen Centralcon Investment has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Shenzhen Centralcon time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Shenzhen Centralcon price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Shenzhen Centralcon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Shenzhen Centralcon lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Shenzhen Centralcon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Shenzhen Centralcon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Shenzhen Centralcon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Shenzhen Centralcon has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Shenzhen Centralcon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Shenzhen Centralcon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Shenzhen Centralcon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Shenzhen Centralcon stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Shenzhen Centralcon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Shenzhen Centralcon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Shenzhen Centralcon stock have on its future price. Shenzhen Centralcon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Shenzhen Centralcon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Shenzhen Centralcon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Shenzhen Centralcon Investment.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Shenzhen Stock

Shenzhen Centralcon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shenzhen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shenzhen with respect to the benefits of owning Shenzhen Centralcon security.