Hershey (UK) Market Value
| 0J4X Stock | 181.59 0.63 0.35% |
| Symbol | Hershey |
Hershey 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hershey's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hershey.
| 05/16/2024 |
| 12/12/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Hershey on May 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hershey Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hershey over 210 days. Hershey is related to or competes with Diversified Energy, Vitec Software, Sabien Technology, Bytes Technology, Smithson Investment, Mercantile Investment, and Auction Technology. Hershey is entity of United Kingdom. It is traded as Stock on LSE exchange. More
Hershey Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hershey's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hershey Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.11) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 16.95 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.96 |
Hershey Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hershey's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hershey's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hershey historical prices to predict the future Hershey's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.03) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.45) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.2258 |
Hershey Backtested Returns
Hershey holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.057, which attests that the entity had a -0.057% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Hershey exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Hershey's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2358, risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Standard Deviation of 2.11 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.51, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hershey are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hershey is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Hershey has a negative expected return of -0.12%. Please make sure to check out Hershey's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Hershey performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.04 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Hershey Co has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hershey time series from 16th of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hershey price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Hershey price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.04 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.09 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 78.43 |
Hershey lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Hershey stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hershey's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hershey returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hershey has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Hershey regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hershey stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hershey stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hershey stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Hershey Lagged Returns
When evaluating Hershey's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hershey stock have on its future price. Hershey autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hershey autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hershey stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hershey Co.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Hershey Stock Analysis
When running Hershey's price analysis, check to measure Hershey's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hershey is operating at the current time. Most of Hershey's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hershey's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hershey's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hershey to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.