Kwong Fong (Taiwan) Market Value

1416 Stock  TWD 12.80  0.10  0.78%   
Kwong Fong's market value is the price at which a share of Kwong Fong trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kwong Fong Industries investors about its performance. Kwong Fong is selling for under 12.80 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.78% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kwong Fong Industries and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kwong Fong over a given investment horizon. Check out Kwong Fong Correlation, Kwong Fong Volatility and Kwong Fong Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kwong Fong.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kwong Fong's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kwong Fong is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kwong Fong's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kwong Fong 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kwong Fong's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kwong Fong.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kwong Fong on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kwong Fong Industries or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kwong Fong over 30 days. Kwong Fong is related to or competes with Sunspring Metal, First Copper, Shinkong Insurance, Central Reinsurance, First Insurance, C Media, and Union Insurance. Kwong Fong Industries Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, primarily engages in the construction and textile bus... More

Kwong Fong Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kwong Fong's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kwong Fong Industries upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kwong Fong Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kwong Fong's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kwong Fong's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kwong Fong historical prices to predict the future Kwong Fong's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.9712.8014.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0210.8514.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1713.0014.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6412.9713.29
Details

Kwong Fong Industries Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Kwong Stock to be not too volatile. Kwong Fong Industries has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0022, which conveys that the firm had a 0.0022% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-four technical indicators for Kwong Fong, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Kwong Fong's Mean Deviation of 1.22, insignificant risk adjusted performance, and Standard Deviation of 1.8 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.004%. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.3, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Kwong Fong are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Kwong Fong is likely to outperform the market. Kwong Fong Industries right now secures a risk of 1.82%. Please verify Kwong Fong Industries total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Kwong Fong Industries will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

Kwong Fong Industries has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kwong Fong time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kwong Fong Industries price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Kwong Fong price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Kwong Fong Industries lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kwong Fong stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kwong Fong's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kwong Fong returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kwong Fong has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kwong Fong regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kwong Fong stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kwong Fong stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kwong Fong stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kwong Fong Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kwong Fong's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kwong Fong stock have on its future price. Kwong Fong autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kwong Fong autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kwong Fong stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kwong Fong Industries.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Kwong Stock Analysis

When running Kwong Fong's price analysis, check to measure Kwong Fong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kwong Fong is operating at the current time. Most of Kwong Fong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kwong Fong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kwong Fong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kwong Fong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.