Tex Ray (Taiwan) Market Value

1467 Stock  TWD 10.80  0.40  3.57%   
Tex Ray's market value is the price at which a share of Tex Ray trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tex Ray Industrial Co investors about its performance. Tex Ray is selling for under 10.80 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 3.57 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 10.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tex Ray Industrial Co and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tex Ray over a given investment horizon. Check out Tex Ray Correlation, Tex Ray Volatility and Tex Ray Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tex Ray.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tex Ray's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tex Ray is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tex Ray's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tex Ray 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tex Ray's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tex Ray.
0.00
09/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tex Ray on September 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tex Ray Industrial Co or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tex Ray over 60 days. Tex Ray is related to or competes with Chaintech Technology, AVerMedia Technologies, Avision, Clevo, and Elitegroup Computer. Tex-Ray Industrial Co., Ltd. manufactures and retails yarns and fabrics More

Tex Ray Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tex Ray's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tex Ray Industrial Co upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tex Ray Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tex Ray's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tex Ray's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tex Ray historical prices to predict the future Tex Ray's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6010.8012.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4310.6311.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7510.9512.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2710.8511.43
Details

Tex Ray Industrial Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Tex Stock to be not too volatile. Tex Ray Industrial owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0374, which indicates the firm had a 0.0374% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Tex Ray Industrial Co, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Tex Ray's Coefficient Of Variation of 4213.85, semi deviation of 0.9861, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0217 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0449%. Tex Ray has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0783, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Tex Ray's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Tex Ray is expected to be smaller as well. Tex Ray Industrial right now has a risk of 1.2%. Please validate Tex Ray sortino ratio, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the total risk alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Tex Ray will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

Tex Ray Industrial Co has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tex Ray time series from 30th of September 2024 to 30th of October 2024 and 30th of October 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tex Ray Industrial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Tex Ray price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Tex Ray Industrial lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tex Ray stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tex Ray's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tex Ray returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tex Ray has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tex Ray regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tex Ray stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tex Ray stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tex Ray stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tex Ray Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tex Ray's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tex Ray stock have on its future price. Tex Ray autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tex Ray autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tex Ray stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tex Ray Industrial Co.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Tex Stock Analysis

When running Tex Ray's price analysis, check to measure Tex Ray's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tex Ray is operating at the current time. Most of Tex Ray's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tex Ray's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tex Ray's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tex Ray to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.