Aedas Homes (Germany) Market Value

1QK Stock  EUR 24.75  0.20  0.80%   
Aedas Homes' market value is the price at which a share of Aedas Homes trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aedas Homes SA investors about its performance. Aedas Homes is trading at 24.75 as of the 30th of November 2024. This is a 0.8% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 24.75.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aedas Homes SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aedas Homes over a given investment horizon. Check out Aedas Homes Correlation, Aedas Homes Volatility and Aedas Homes Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aedas Homes.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aedas Homes' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aedas Homes is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aedas Homes' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aedas Homes 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aedas Homes' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aedas Homes.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aedas Homes on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aedas Homes SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aedas Homes over 30 days. Aedas Homes is related to or competes with Lennar, NVR, and PulteGroup. Aedas Homes, S.A. engages in the development of residential homes in Spain More

Aedas Homes Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aedas Homes' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aedas Homes SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aedas Homes Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aedas Homes' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aedas Homes' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aedas Homes historical prices to predict the future Aedas Homes' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8524.7526.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.0020.8927.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.8224.7226.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.3424.7125.07
Details

Aedas Homes SA Backtested Returns

At this point, Aedas Homes is very steady. Aedas Homes SA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0209, which signifies that the company had a 0.0209% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Aedas Homes SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aedas Homes' mean deviation of 1.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0306 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0397%. Aedas Homes has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aedas Homes' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aedas Homes is expected to be smaller as well. Aedas Homes SA right now shows a risk of 1.9%. Please confirm Aedas Homes SA downside deviation, standard deviation, and the relationship between the semi deviation and coefficient of variation , to decide if Aedas Homes SA will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.13  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Aedas Homes SA has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aedas Homes time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aedas Homes SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Aedas Homes price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Aedas Homes SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aedas Homes stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aedas Homes' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aedas Homes returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aedas Homes has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aedas Homes regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aedas Homes stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aedas Homes stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aedas Homes stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aedas Homes Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aedas Homes' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aedas Homes stock have on its future price. Aedas Homes autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aedas Homes autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aedas Homes stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aedas Homes SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Aedas Stock

Aedas Homes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aedas Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aedas with respect to the benefits of owning Aedas Homes security.