21st Century (India) Market Value

21STCENMGM   95.50  1.95  2.00%   
21st Century's market value is the price at which a share of 21st Century trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of 21st Century Management investors about its performance. 21st Century is selling at 95.50 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 2 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 97.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of 21st Century Management and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 21st Century over a given investment horizon. Check out 21st Century Correlation, 21st Century Volatility and 21st Century Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 21st Century.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 21st Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 21st Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 21st Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

21st Century 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 21st Century's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 21st Century.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 21st Century on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding 21st Century Management or generate 0.0% return on investment in 21st Century over 90 days. 21st Century is related to or competes with Osia Hyper, V Mart, Praxis Home, Sumitomo Chemical, Tata Chemicals, and Shree Pushkar. 21st Century is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

21st Century Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 21st Century's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess 21st Century Management upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

21st Century Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 21st Century's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 21st Century's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 21st Century historical prices to predict the future 21st Century's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 21st Century's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.4996.3998.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.4178.31105.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
95.9897.8999.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
92.3599.76107.16
Details

21st Century Management Backtested Returns

21st Century Management secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.2, which signifies that the company had a -0.2% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. 21st Century Management exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 21st Century's Mean Deviation of 1.84, coefficient of variation of (702.24), and Variance of 3.76 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0688, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 21st Century's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 21st Century is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, 21st Century Management has a negative expected return of -0.38%. Please make sure to confirm 21st Century's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if 21st Century Management performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.52  

Modest predictability

21st Century Management has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 21st Century time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 21st Century Management price movement. The serial correlation of 0.52 indicates that about 52.0% of current 21st Century price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.52
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance60.35

21st Century Management lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 21st Century stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 21st Century's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 21st Century returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 21st Century has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

21st Century regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 21st Century stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 21st Century stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 21st Century stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

21st Century Lagged Returns

When evaluating 21st Century's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 21st Century stock have on its future price. 21st Century autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 21st Century autocorrelation shows the relationship between 21st Century stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in 21st Century Management.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in 21st Stock

21st Century financial ratios help investors to determine whether 21st Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 21st with respect to the benefits of owning 21st Century security.