PayPal Holdings (Germany) Market Value
| 2PP Stock | 84.16 0.52 0.62% |
| Symbol | PayPal |
PayPal Holdings 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PayPal Holdings' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PayPal Holdings.
| 09/22/2024 |
| 12/21/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PayPal Holdings on September 22, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PayPal Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in PayPal Holdings over 90 days. PayPal Holdings is related to or competes with Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, Apple, and Microsoft. More
PayPal Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PayPal Holdings' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PayPal Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.1879 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.11 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.40) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.55 |
PayPal Holdings Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PayPal Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PayPal Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PayPal Holdings historical prices to predict the future PayPal Holdings' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1699 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3166 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.2761 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.1818 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.8 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PayPal Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PayPal Holdings Backtested Returns
PayPal Holdings appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. PayPal Holdings maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.18, which implies the firm had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for PayPal Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate PayPal Holdings' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1699, coefficient of variation of 480.36, and Semi Deviation of 1.08 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, PayPal Holdings holds a performance score of 14. The company holds a Beta of 0.18, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, PayPal Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding PayPal Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. Please check PayPal Holdings' maximum drawdown, accumulation distribution, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day typical price , to make a quick decision on whether PayPal Holdings' historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.51 |
Modest predictability
PayPal Holdings has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PayPal Holdings time series from 22nd of September 2024 to 6th of November 2024 and 6th of November 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PayPal Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of 0.51 indicates that about 51.0% of current PayPal Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.51 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.44 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.88 |
PayPal Holdings lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PayPal Holdings stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PayPal Holdings' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PayPal Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PayPal Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PayPal Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PayPal Holdings stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PayPal Holdings stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PayPal Holdings stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PayPal Holdings Lagged Returns
When evaluating PayPal Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PayPal Holdings stock have on its future price. PayPal Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PayPal Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between PayPal Holdings stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PayPal Holdings.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for PayPal Stock Analysis
When running PayPal Holdings' price analysis, check to measure PayPal Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PayPal Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of PayPal Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PayPal Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PayPal Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PayPal Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.