KAUFMAN ET (Germany) Market Value

3GH Stock  EUR 30.90  0.10  0.32%   
KAUFMAN ET's market value is the price at which a share of KAUFMAN ET trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of KAUFMAN ET BROAD investors about its performance. KAUFMAN ET is trading at 30.90 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 0.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 30.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of KAUFMAN ET BROAD and determine expected loss or profit from investing in KAUFMAN ET over a given investment horizon. Check out KAUFMAN ET Correlation, KAUFMAN ET Volatility and KAUFMAN ET Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on KAUFMAN ET.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between KAUFMAN ET's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KAUFMAN ET is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KAUFMAN ET's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

KAUFMAN ET 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to KAUFMAN ET's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of KAUFMAN ET.
0.00
12/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in KAUFMAN ET on December 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KAUFMAN ET BROAD or generate 0.0% return on investment in KAUFMAN ET over 360 days. KAUFMAN ET is related to or competes with EHEALTH, APPLIED MATERIALS, Martin Marietta, NEWELL RUBBERMAID, CVS Health, THRACE PLASTICS, and Sabra Health. More

KAUFMAN ET Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure KAUFMAN ET's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KAUFMAN ET BROAD upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

KAUFMAN ET Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for KAUFMAN ET's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as KAUFMAN ET's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use KAUFMAN ET historical prices to predict the future KAUFMAN ET's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.1731.0032.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.9826.8134.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.1731.0032.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.2133.3835.55
Details

KAUFMAN ET BROAD Backtested Returns

KAUFMAN ET BROAD has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0125, which conveys that the company had a -0.0125% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. KAUFMAN ET exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify KAUFMAN ET's downside deviation of 1.63, and Mean Deviation of 1.29 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0269, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, KAUFMAN ET's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding KAUFMAN ET is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, KAUFMAN ET BROAD has a negative expected return of -0.0229%. Please make sure to verify KAUFMAN ET's information ratio, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if KAUFMAN ET BROAD performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

KAUFMAN ET BROAD has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between KAUFMAN ET time series from 8th of December 2023 to 5th of June 2024 and 5th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of KAUFMAN ET BROAD price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current KAUFMAN ET price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.21
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.01

KAUFMAN ET BROAD lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is KAUFMAN ET stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting KAUFMAN ET's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of KAUFMAN ET returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that KAUFMAN ET has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

KAUFMAN ET regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If KAUFMAN ET stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if KAUFMAN ET stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in KAUFMAN ET stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

KAUFMAN ET Lagged Returns

When evaluating KAUFMAN ET's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of KAUFMAN ET stock have on its future price. KAUFMAN ET autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, KAUFMAN ET autocorrelation shows the relationship between KAUFMAN ET stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KAUFMAN ET BROAD.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in KAUFMAN Stock

KAUFMAN ET financial ratios help investors to determine whether KAUFMAN Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KAUFMAN with respect to the benefits of owning KAUFMAN ET security.