San Fu (Taiwan) Market Value

4755 Stock  TWD 134.00  4.00  2.90%   
San Fu's market value is the price at which a share of San Fu trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of San Fu Chemical investors about its performance. San Fu is selling for under 134.00 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 2.9 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 132.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of San Fu Chemical and determine expected loss or profit from investing in San Fu over a given investment horizon. Check out San Fu Correlation, San Fu Volatility and San Fu Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on San Fu.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between San Fu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if San Fu is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, San Fu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

San Fu 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to San Fu's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of San Fu.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in San Fu on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding San Fu Chemical or generate 0.0% return on investment in San Fu over 720 days. San Fu is related to or competes with Delta Electronics, China Steel, WiseChip Semiconductor, Novatek Microelectronics, Leader Electronics, Information Technology, and Kinko Optical. San Fu Chemical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells chemical products primarily in Taiwan More

San Fu Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure San Fu's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess San Fu Chemical upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

San Fu Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for San Fu's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as San Fu's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use San Fu historical prices to predict the future San Fu's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.57134.00136.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
130.07132.50134.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
140.72143.15145.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
115.97126.25136.53
Details

San Fu Chemical Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider San Stock to be very steady. San Fu Chemical owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0392, which indicates the firm had a 0.0392% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for San Fu Chemical, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate San Fu's Coefficient Of Variation of 2323.58, semi deviation of 1.89, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0397 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.095%. San Fu has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.44, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, San Fu's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding San Fu is expected to be smaller as well. San Fu Chemical right now has a risk of 2.43%. Please validate San Fu standard deviation, total risk alpha, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if San Fu will be following its existing price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.27  

Poor predictability

San Fu Chemical has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between San Fu time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of San Fu Chemical price movement. The serial correlation of 0.27 indicates that nearly 27.0% of current San Fu price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.27
Spearman Rank Test-0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance116.33

San Fu Chemical lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is San Fu stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting San Fu's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of San Fu returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that San Fu has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

San Fu regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If San Fu stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if San Fu stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in San Fu stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

San Fu Lagged Returns

When evaluating San Fu's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of San Fu stock have on its future price. San Fu autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, San Fu autocorrelation shows the relationship between San Fu stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in San Fu Chemical.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for San Stock Analysis

When running San Fu's price analysis, check to measure San Fu's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy San Fu is operating at the current time. Most of San Fu's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of San Fu's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move San Fu's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of San Fu to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.