GRUPO CARSO-A1 (Germany) Market Value
| 4GF Stock | 5.65 0.15 2.73% |
| Symbol | GRUPO |
GRUPO CARSO-A1 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to GRUPO CARSO-A1's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of GRUPO CARSO-A1.
| 06/02/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in GRUPO CARSO-A1 on June 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding GRUPO CARSO A1 or generate 0.0% return on investment in GRUPO CARSO-A1 over 180 days. GRUPO CARSO-A1 is related to or competes with Tencent Music, BE Semiconductor, Jacquet Metal, UNIVMUSIC GRPADR/050, ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR, and PRECISION DRILLING. More
GRUPO CARSO-A1 Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure GRUPO CARSO-A1's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess GRUPO CARSO A1 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.008 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 18.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.77) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.59 |
GRUPO CARSO-A1 Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for GRUPO CARSO-A1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as GRUPO CARSO-A1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use GRUPO CARSO-A1 historical prices to predict the future GRUPO CARSO-A1's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0428 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.053 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.36) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0099 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1841 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GRUPO CARSO-A1's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GRUPO CARSO A1 Backtested Returns
Currently, GRUPO CARSO A1 is slightly risky. GRUPO CARSO A1 holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0375, which attests that the entity had a 0.0375% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for GRUPO CARSO A1, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out GRUPO CARSO-A1's market risk adjusted performance of 0.1941, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0428 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%. GRUPO CARSO-A1 has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.77, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, GRUPO CARSO-A1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GRUPO CARSO-A1 is expected to be smaller as well. GRUPO CARSO A1 currently retains a risk of 3.37%. Please check out GRUPO CARSO-A1 total risk alpha, downside variance, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if GRUPO CARSO-A1 will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.55 |
Modest predictability
GRUPO CARSO A1 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between GRUPO CARSO-A1 time series from 2nd of June 2024 to 31st of August 2024 and 31st of August 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of GRUPO CARSO A1 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current GRUPO CARSO-A1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.55 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.0 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.03 |
GRUPO CARSO A1 lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is GRUPO CARSO-A1 stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting GRUPO CARSO-A1's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of GRUPO CARSO-A1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that GRUPO CARSO-A1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
GRUPO CARSO-A1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If GRUPO CARSO-A1 stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if GRUPO CARSO-A1 stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in GRUPO CARSO-A1 stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
GRUPO CARSO-A1 Lagged Returns
When evaluating GRUPO CARSO-A1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of GRUPO CARSO-A1 stock have on its future price. GRUPO CARSO-A1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, GRUPO CARSO-A1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between GRUPO CARSO-A1 stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in GRUPO CARSO A1.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Thematic Opportunities
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Additional Tools for GRUPO Stock Analysis
When running GRUPO CARSO-A1's price analysis, check to measure GRUPO CARSO-A1's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GRUPO CARSO-A1 is operating at the current time. Most of GRUPO CARSO-A1's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GRUPO CARSO-A1's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GRUPO CARSO-A1's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GRUPO CARSO-A1 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.