Al Aqar (Malaysia) Market Value

5116 Stock   1.38  0.01  0.72%   
Al Aqar's market value is the price at which a share of Al Aqar trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Al Aqar Healthcare investors about its performance. Al Aqar is selling for 1.38 as of the 12th of December 2024. This is a 0.72 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 1.38.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Al Aqar Healthcare and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Al Aqar over a given investment horizon. Check out Al Aqar Correlation, Al Aqar Volatility and Al Aqar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Al Aqar.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Al Aqar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Al Aqar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Al Aqar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Al Aqar 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Al Aqar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Al Aqar.
0.00
12/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Al Aqar on December 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Al Aqar Healthcare or generate 0.0% return on investment in Al Aqar over 720 days. Al Aqar is related to or competes with YTL Hospitality, PMB Technology, Minetech Resources, Dufu Tech, Sunzen Biotech, and FARM FRESH. More

Al Aqar Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Al Aqar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Al Aqar Healthcare upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Al Aqar Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Al Aqar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Al Aqar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Al Aqar historical prices to predict the future Al Aqar's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.471.402.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.451.382.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.481.422.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.361.391.43
Details

Al Aqar Healthcare Backtested Returns

As of now, 5116 Stock is moderately volatile. Al Aqar Healthcare retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0929, which signifies that the company had a 0.0929% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Al Aqar, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Al Aqar's Coefficient Of Variation of 781.42, market risk adjusted performance of 0.5914, and Standard Deviation of 0.9096 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.087%. Al Aqar has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.18, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Al Aqar's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Al Aqar is expected to be smaller as well. Al Aqar Healthcare at this moment owns a risk of 0.94%. Please confirm Al Aqar Healthcare semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Al Aqar Healthcare will be following its current price history.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.04  

Very weak reverse predictability

Al Aqar Healthcare has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Al Aqar time series from 23rd of December 2022 to 18th of December 2023 and 18th of December 2023 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Al Aqar Healthcare price movement. The serial correlation of -0.04 indicates that only as little as 4.0% of current Al Aqar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.04
Spearman Rank Test0.11
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Al Aqar Healthcare lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Al Aqar stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Al Aqar's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Al Aqar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Al Aqar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Al Aqar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Al Aqar stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Al Aqar stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Al Aqar stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Al Aqar Lagged Returns

When evaluating Al Aqar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Al Aqar stock have on its future price. Al Aqar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Al Aqar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Al Aqar stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Al Aqar Healthcare.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 5116 Stock

Al Aqar financial ratios help investors to determine whether 5116 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 5116 with respect to the benefits of owning Al Aqar security.