Algonquin Power (Germany) Market Value
| 751 Stock | EUR 4.61 0.02 0.44% |
| Symbol | Algonquin |
Algonquin Power 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Algonquin Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Algonquin Power.
| 10/30/2024 |
| 11/29/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Algonquin Power on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Algonquin Power Utilities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Algonquin Power over 30 days. Algonquin Power is related to or competes with Superior Plus, NMI Holdings, Origin Agritech, SIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS, NorAm Drilling, Identiv, and Norsk Hydro. Algonquin Power Utilities Corp., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates a portfolio of regulated and non-regulated ... More
Algonquin Power Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Algonquin Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Algonquin Power Utilities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.10) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.63) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.31 |
Algonquin Power Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Algonquin Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Algonquin Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Algonquin Power historical prices to predict the future Algonquin Power's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.26) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.74) |
Algonquin Power Utilities Backtested Returns
Algonquin Power Utilities secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0169, which signifies that the company had a -0.0169% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Algonquin Power Utilities exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Algonquin Power's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 1.17 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0508, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Algonquin Power's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Algonquin Power is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Algonquin Power Utilities has a negative expected return of -0.0256%. Please make sure to confirm Algonquin Power's mean deviation, standard deviation, total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and jensen alpha , to decide if Algonquin Power Utilities performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.28 |
Poor predictability
Algonquin Power Utilities has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Algonquin Power time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Algonquin Power Utilities price movement. The serial correlation of 0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Algonquin Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.28 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Algonquin Power Utilities lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Algonquin Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Algonquin Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Algonquin Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Algonquin Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Algonquin Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Algonquin Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Algonquin Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Algonquin Power stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Algonquin Power Lagged Returns
When evaluating Algonquin Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Algonquin Power stock have on its future price. Algonquin Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Algonquin Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Algonquin Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Algonquin Power Utilities.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Algonquin Stock
When determining whether Algonquin Power Utilities offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Algonquin Power's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Algonquin Power Utilities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Algonquin Power Utilities Stock:Check out Algonquin Power Correlation, Algonquin Power Volatility and Algonquin Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Algonquin Power. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Algonquin Power technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.