Alcor Micro (Taiwan) Market Value
| 8054 Stock | TWD 144.50 0.50 0.35% |
| Symbol | Alcor |
Alcor Micro 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alcor Micro's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alcor Micro.
| 12/18/2023 |
| 12/12/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alcor Micro on December 18, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alcor Micro or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alcor Micro over 360 days. Alcor Micro is related to or competes with Shinkong Insurance, Power Wind, Fubon Financial, SS Healthcare, Healthconn Corp, Union Bank, and Yuanta Financial. More
Alcor Micro Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alcor Micro's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alcor Micro upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.48) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.3 |
Alcor Micro Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alcor Micro's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alcor Micro's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alcor Micro historical prices to predict the future Alcor Micro's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0213 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0466 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.40) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (1.75) |
Alcor Micro Backtested Returns
Alcor Micro secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0056, which signifies that the company had a -0.0056% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alcor Micro exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alcor Micro's risk adjusted performance of 0.0213, and Mean Deviation of 2.14 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.025, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alcor Micro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alcor Micro is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Alcor Micro has a negative expected return of -0.015%. Please make sure to confirm Alcor Micro's semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Alcor Micro performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | -0.23 |
Weak reverse predictability
Alcor Micro has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alcor Micro time series from 18th of December 2023 to 15th of June 2024 and 15th of June 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alcor Micro price movement. The serial correlation of -0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Alcor Micro price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.23 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.57 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 333.73 |
Alcor Micro lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Alcor Micro stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alcor Micro's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alcor Micro returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alcor Micro has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Alcor Micro regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alcor Micro stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alcor Micro stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alcor Micro stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Alcor Micro Lagged Returns
When evaluating Alcor Micro's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alcor Micro stock have on its future price. Alcor Micro autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alcor Micro autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alcor Micro stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alcor Micro.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Alcor Micro
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alcor Micro position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alcor Micro will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Alcor Stock
Moving against Alcor Stock
| 0.65 | 2603 | Evergreen Marine Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.53 | 2609 | Yang Ming Marine | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | 6669 | Wiwynn Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | 2382 | Quanta Computer | PairCorr |
| 0.38 | 3022 | IEI Integration Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alcor Micro could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alcor Micro when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alcor Micro - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alcor Micro to buy it.
The correlation of Alcor Micro is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alcor Micro moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alcor Micro moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alcor Micro can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Alcor Stock Analysis
When running Alcor Micro's price analysis, check to measure Alcor Micro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcor Micro is operating at the current time. Most of Alcor Micro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcor Micro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcor Micro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcor Micro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.