Ab Arizona Portfolio Fund Market Value
| AAZAX Fund | USD 10.50 0.01 0.1% |
| Symbol | AAZAX |
Ab Arizona 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ab Arizona's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ab Arizona.
| 11/11/2024 |
| 12/11/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Ab Arizona on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ab Arizona Portfolio or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ab Arizona over 30 days. Ab Arizona is related to or competes with Wesmark Government, Wesmark Growth, Wesmark Balanced, Wesmark Small, Aberdeen Income, Elfun Trusts, and Pfizer. The fund principally invests in high-yielding, predominantly investment grade municipal securities More
Ab Arizona Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ab Arizona's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ab Arizona Portfolio upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.3022 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.59) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.16 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.38) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.2882 |
Ab Arizona Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ab Arizona's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ab Arizona's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ab Arizona historical prices to predict the future Ab Arizona's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0049 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.39) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0513 |
Ab Arizona Portfolio Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider AAZAX Mutual Fund to be very steady. Ab Arizona Portfolio retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0157, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0157% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Ab Arizona, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Ab Arizona's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0613, standard deviation of 0.2024, and Coefficient Of Variation of 3380.89 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0032%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0783, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ab Arizona are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ab Arizona is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.77 |
Good predictability
Ab Arizona Portfolio has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ab Arizona time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ab Arizona Portfolio price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Ab Arizona price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.77 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.79 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Ab Arizona Portfolio lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Ab Arizona mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ab Arizona's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ab Arizona returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ab Arizona has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Ab Arizona regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ab Arizona mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ab Arizona mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ab Arizona mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Ab Arizona Lagged Returns
When evaluating Ab Arizona's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ab Arizona mutual fund have on its future price. Ab Arizona autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ab Arizona autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ab Arizona mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ab Arizona Portfolio.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in AAZAX Mutual Fund
Ab Arizona financial ratios help investors to determine whether AAZAX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AAZAX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Arizona security.
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