Asuransi Bina (Indonesia) Market Value

ABDA Stock  IDR 4,060  0.00  0.00%   
Asuransi Bina's market value is the price at which a share of Asuransi Bina trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Asuransi Bina Dana investors about its performance. Asuransi Bina is selling for 4060.00 as of the 1st of December 2024. This is a No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 4060.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Asuransi Bina Dana and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Asuransi Bina over a given investment horizon. Check out Asuransi Bina Correlation, Asuransi Bina Volatility and Asuransi Bina Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Asuransi Bina.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Asuransi Bina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asuransi Bina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asuransi Bina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Asuransi Bina 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Asuransi Bina's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Asuransi Bina.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Asuransi Bina on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Asuransi Bina Dana or generate 0.0% return on investment in Asuransi Bina over 30 days. Asuransi Bina is related to or competes with Ace Hardware, Merdeka Copper, Mitra Pinasthika, Jakarta Int, Asuransi Harta, Indosterling Technomedia, and Indosat Tbk. More

Asuransi Bina Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Asuransi Bina's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Asuransi Bina Dana upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Asuransi Bina Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Asuransi Bina's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Asuransi Bina's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Asuransi Bina historical prices to predict the future Asuransi Bina's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,0594,0604,061
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,8333,8344,466
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4,0084,0094,011
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,0604,0604,060
Details

Asuransi Bina Dana Backtested Returns

Asuransi Bina Dana secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.12, which signifies that the company had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Asuransi Bina Dana exposes sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Asuransi Bina's Mean Deviation of 0.2986, risk adjusted performance of (0.09), and Standard Deviation of 1.23 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Asuransi Bina are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Asuransi Bina is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Asuransi Bina Dana has a negative expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to confirm Asuransi Bina's kurtosis, day median price, and the relationship between the skewness and rate of daily change , to decide if Asuransi Bina Dana performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
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No correlation between past and present

Asuransi Bina Dana has no correlation between past and present. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Asuransi Bina time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Asuransi Bina Dana price movement. The serial correlation of 0.0 indicates that just 0.0% of current Asuransi Bina price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.0
Spearman Rank Test1.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Asuransi Bina Dana lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Asuransi Bina stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Asuransi Bina's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Asuransi Bina returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Asuransi Bina has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Asuransi Bina regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Asuransi Bina stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Asuransi Bina stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Asuransi Bina stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Asuransi Bina Lagged Returns

When evaluating Asuransi Bina's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Asuransi Bina stock have on its future price. Asuransi Bina autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Asuransi Bina autocorrelation shows the relationship between Asuransi Bina stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Asuransi Bina Dana.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Asuransi Stock

Asuransi Bina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asuransi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asuransi with respect to the benefits of owning Asuransi Bina security.