Amana Bank (Sri Lanka) Market Value

ABLN0000   22.90  0.10  0.43%   
Amana Bank's market value is the price at which a share of Amana Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Amana Bank investors about its performance. Amana Bank is trading at 22.90 as of the 28th of November 2024, a 0.43 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 23.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Amana Bank and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Amana Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out Amana Bank Correlation, Amana Bank Volatility and Amana Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Amana Bank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Amana Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amana Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amana Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Amana Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Amana Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Amana Bank.
0.00
12/09/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Amana Bank on December 9, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Amana Bank or generate 0.0% return on investment in Amana Bank over 720 days. More

Amana Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Amana Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Amana Bank upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Amana Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Amana Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Amana Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Amana Bank historical prices to predict the future Amana Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.6422.9024.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7218.9825.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.0122.2723.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.7023.1423.58
Details

Amana Bank Backtested Returns

At this point, Amana Bank is very steady. Amana Bank secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which signifies that the company had a 0.12% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Amana Bank, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Amana Bank's mean deviation of 0.8889, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0632 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Amana Bank has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.29, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Amana Bank are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Amana Bank is likely to outperform the market. Amana Bank right now shows a risk of 1.26%. Please confirm Amana Bank semi deviation, coefficient of variation, and the relationship between the mean deviation and downside deviation , to decide if Amana Bank will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.64  

Very good reverse predictability

Amana Bank has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Amana Bank time series from 9th of December 2022 to 4th of December 2023 and 4th of December 2023 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Amana Bank price movement. The serial correlation of -0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Amana Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.64
Spearman Rank Test-0.82
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance96.03

Amana Bank lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Amana Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Amana Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Amana Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Amana Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Amana Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Amana Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Amana Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Amana Bank stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Amana Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Amana Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Amana Bank stock have on its future price. Amana Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Amana Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Amana Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Amana Bank.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Amana Stock

Amana Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amana with respect to the benefits of owning Amana Bank security.