Adani Power (India) Market Value

ADANIPOWER   539.85  20.60  3.97%   
Adani Power's market value is the price at which a share of Adani Power trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Adani Power Limited investors about its performance. Adani Power is selling at 539.85 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 3.97 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 519.25.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Adani Power Limited and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Adani Power over a given investment horizon. Check out Adani Power Correlation, Adani Power Volatility and Adani Power Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Adani Power.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Adani Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adani Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adani Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Adani Power 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Adani Power's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Adani Power.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Adani Power on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Adani Power Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Adani Power over 30 days. Adani Power is related to or competes with UFO Moviez, DJ Mediaprint, DMCC SPECIALITY, Infomedia Press, Bodhi Tree, Zee Entertainment, and Sambhaav Media. Adani Power is entity of India. It is traded as Stock on NSE exchange. More

Adani Power Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Adani Power's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Adani Power Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Adani Power Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Adani Power's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Adani Power's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Adani Power historical prices to predict the future Adani Power's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
507.98511.39571.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
505.68509.09571.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
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Adani Power Limited Backtested Returns

Adani Power Limited secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0583, which signifies that the company had a -0.0583% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Adani Power Limited exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Adani Power's risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Mean Deviation of 1.94 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Adani Power's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Adani Power is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Adani Power Limited has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Adani Power's treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and kurtosis , to decide if Adani Power Limited performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.34  

Below average predictability

Adani Power Limited has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Adani Power time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Adani Power Limited price movement. The serial correlation of 0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Adani Power price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.34
Spearman Rank Test0.58
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance152.1

Adani Power Limited lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Adani Power stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Adani Power's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Adani Power returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Adani Power has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Adani Power regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Adani Power stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Adani Power stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Adani Power stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Adani Power Lagged Returns

When evaluating Adani Power's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Adani Power stock have on its future price. Adani Power autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Adani Power autocorrelation shows the relationship between Adani Power stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Adani Power Limited.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Adani Stock

Adani Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Adani Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Adani with respect to the benefits of owning Adani Power security.