Diversified Bond Fund Market Value

ADVYX Fund  USD 9.05  0.03  0.33%   
Diversified Bond's market value is the price at which a share of Diversified Bond trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Diversified Bond Fund investors about its performance. Diversified Bond is trading at 9.05 as of the 19th of December 2024; that is 0.33 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.08.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Diversified Bond Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Diversified Bond over a given investment horizon. Check out Diversified Bond Correlation, Diversified Bond Volatility and Diversified Bond Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Diversified Bond.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Diversified Bond's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diversified Bond is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diversified Bond's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Diversified Bond 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Diversified Bond's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Diversified Bond.
0.00
11/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Diversified Bond on November 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Diversified Bond Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Diversified Bond over 30 days. Diversified Bond is related to or competes with Mid Cap, Equity Growth, Income Growth, Emerging Markets, Short Term, Value Fund, and Ultra Fund. Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in high- and medium-grade, non-mo... More

Diversified Bond Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Diversified Bond's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Diversified Bond Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Diversified Bond Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Diversified Bond's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Diversified Bond's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Diversified Bond historical prices to predict the future Diversified Bond's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diversified Bond's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.769.089.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.819.139.45
Details

Diversified Bond Backtested Returns

Diversified Bond secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.18, which denotes the fund had a -0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Diversified Bond Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Diversified Bond's Mean Deviation of 0.2418, variance of 0.1034, and Standard Deviation of 0.3216 to check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0271, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Diversified Bond's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Diversified Bond is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.91  

Near perfect reversele predictability

Diversified Bond Fund has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Diversified Bond time series from 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024 and 4th of December 2024 to 19th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Diversified Bond price movement. The serial correlation of -0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Diversified Bond price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.91
Spearman Rank Test-0.95
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Diversified Bond lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Diversified Bond mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Diversified Bond's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Diversified Bond returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Diversified Bond has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Diversified Bond regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Diversified Bond mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Diversified Bond mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Diversified Bond mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Diversified Bond Lagged Returns

When evaluating Diversified Bond's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Diversified Bond mutual fund have on its future price. Diversified Bond autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Diversified Bond autocorrelation shows the relationship between Diversified Bond mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Diversified Bond Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Diversified Mutual Fund

Diversified Bond financial ratios help investors to determine whether Diversified Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Diversified with respect to the benefits of owning Diversified Bond security.
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