Alger International Growth Fund Market Value

AFGPX Fund  USD 17.25  0.13  0.76%   
Alger International's market value is the price at which a share of Alger International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alger International Growth investors about its performance. Alger International is trading at 17.25 as of the 29th of November 2024; that is 0.76 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 17.12.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alger International Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alger International over a given investment horizon. Check out Alger International Correlation, Alger International Volatility and Alger International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alger International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alger International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alger International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alger International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alger International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alger International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alger International.
0.00
06/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alger International on June 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alger International Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alger International over 180 days. Alger International is related to or competes with Artisan Emerging, Siit Emerging, Rbc Emerging, Goldman Sachs, Dws Emerging, Transamerica Emerging, and Barings Emerging. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities, including commo... More

Alger International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alger International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alger International Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alger International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alger International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alger International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alger International historical prices to predict the future Alger International's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.3717.1217.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.4517.2017.95
Details

Alger International Backtested Returns

Alger International secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0181, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0181% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Alger International Growth exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Alger International's mean deviation of 0.5966, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.58, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alger International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alger International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

Alger International Growth has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alger International time series from 2nd of June 2024 to 31st of August 2024 and 31st of August 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alger International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Alger International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.28
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.1

Alger International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alger International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alger International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alger International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alger International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alger International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alger International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alger International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alger International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alger International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alger International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alger International mutual fund have on its future price. Alger International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alger International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alger International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alger International Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger International security.
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