Afluente Transmisso (Brazil) Market Value

AFLT3 Stock  BRL 7.00  0.05  0.72%   
Afluente Transmisso's market value is the price at which a share of Afluente Transmisso trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Afluente Transmisso de investors about its performance. Afluente Transmisso is selling for under 7.00 as of the 13th of December 2024; that is 0.72% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 7.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Afluente Transmisso de and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Afluente Transmisso over a given investment horizon. Check out Afluente Transmisso Correlation, Afluente Transmisso Volatility and Afluente Transmisso Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Afluente Transmisso.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Afluente Transmisso's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Afluente Transmisso is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Afluente Transmisso's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Afluente Transmisso 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Afluente Transmisso's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Afluente Transmisso.
0.00
12/24/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Afluente Transmisso on December 24, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Afluente Transmisso de or generate 0.0% return on investment in Afluente Transmisso over 720 days. Afluente Transmisso is related to or competes with Iron Mountain, Spotify Technology, Dell Technologies, Uber Technologies, Micron Technology, Palantir Technologies, and Align Technology. Afluente Transmisso de Energia Eltrica S.A More

Afluente Transmisso Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Afluente Transmisso's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Afluente Transmisso de upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Afluente Transmisso Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Afluente Transmisso's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Afluente Transmisso's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Afluente Transmisso historical prices to predict the future Afluente Transmisso's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.507.008.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.597.098.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.617.118.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.757.037.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Afluente Transmisso. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Afluente Transmisso's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Afluente Transmisso's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Afluente Transmisso.

Afluente Transmisso Backtested Returns

Afluente Transmisso secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0273, which signifies that the company had a -0.0273% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Afluente Transmisso de exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Afluente Transmisso's Standard Deviation of 1.52, mean deviation of 0.7684, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Afluente Transmisso are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Afluente Transmisso is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Afluente Transmisso has a negative expected return of -0.041%. Please make sure to confirm Afluente Transmisso's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the information ratio and total risk alpha , to decide if Afluente Transmisso performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.17  

Very weak predictability

Afluente Transmisso de has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Afluente Transmisso time series from 24th of December 2022 to 19th of December 2023 and 19th of December 2023 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Afluente Transmisso price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Afluente Transmisso price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.17
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

Afluente Transmisso lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Afluente Transmisso stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Afluente Transmisso's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Afluente Transmisso returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Afluente Transmisso has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Afluente Transmisso regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Afluente Transmisso stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Afluente Transmisso stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Afluente Transmisso stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Afluente Transmisso Lagged Returns

When evaluating Afluente Transmisso's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Afluente Transmisso stock have on its future price. Afluente Transmisso autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Afluente Transmisso autocorrelation shows the relationship between Afluente Transmisso stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Afluente Transmisso de.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Afluente Stock Analysis

When running Afluente Transmisso's price analysis, check to measure Afluente Transmisso's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Afluente Transmisso is operating at the current time. Most of Afluente Transmisso's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Afluente Transmisso's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Afluente Transmisso's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Afluente Transmisso to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.