Ashford Hospitality Trust Preferred Stock Market Value

AHT-PF Preferred Stock  USD 14.85  0.06  0.40%   
Ashford Hospitality's market value is the price at which a share of Ashford Hospitality trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ashford Hospitality Trust investors about its performance. Ashford Hospitality is trading at 14.85 as of the 1st of December 2024. This is a 0.4 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 14.45.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ashford Hospitality Trust and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ashford Hospitality over a given investment horizon. Check out Ashford Hospitality Correlation, Ashford Hospitality Volatility and Ashford Hospitality Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ashford Hospitality.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Ashford Hospitality's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ashford Hospitality is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ashford Hospitality's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ashford Hospitality 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ashford Hospitality's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ashford Hospitality.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ashford Hospitality on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ashford Hospitality Trust or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ashford Hospitality over 30 days. Ashford Hospitality is related to or competes with Ashford Hospitality, Ashford Hospitality, Braemar Hotels, Braemar Hotels, and Ashford Hospitality. Ashford Hospitality Trust is a real estate investment trust focused on investing opportunistically in the hospitality in... More

Ashford Hospitality Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ashford Hospitality's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ashford Hospitality Trust upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ashford Hospitality Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ashford Hospitality's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ashford Hospitality's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ashford Hospitality historical prices to predict the future Ashford Hospitality's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.0214.8517.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2413.0715.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4814.3117.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.6415.1915.73
Details

Ashford Hospitality Trust Backtested Returns

Ashford Hospitality Trust secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0703, which signifies that the company had a -0.0703% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Ashford Hospitality Trust exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Ashford Hospitality's mean deviation of 2.0, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.25, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ashford Hospitality are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Ashford Hospitality is expected to outperform it. At this point, Ashford Hospitality Trust has a negative expected return of -0.2%. Please make sure to confirm Ashford Hospitality's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Ashford Hospitality Trust performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Ashford Hospitality Trust has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ashford Hospitality time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ashford Hospitality Trust price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Ashford Hospitality price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.18
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.07

Ashford Hospitality Trust lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ashford Hospitality preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ashford Hospitality's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ashford Hospitality returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ashford Hospitality has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ashford Hospitality regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ashford Hospitality preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ashford Hospitality preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ashford Hospitality preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ashford Hospitality Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ashford Hospitality's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ashford Hospitality preferred stock have on its future price. Ashford Hospitality autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ashford Hospitality autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ashford Hospitality preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ashford Hospitality Trust.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Ashford Preferred Stock

Ashford Hospitality financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ashford Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ashford with respect to the benefits of owning Ashford Hospitality security.