Aktia Bank (Finland) Market Value

AKTIA Stock  EUR 9.27  0.06  0.64%   
Aktia Bank's market value is the price at which a share of Aktia Bank trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Aktia Bank Abp investors about its performance. Aktia Bank is trading at 9.27 as of the 12th of December 2024. This is a 0.64% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 9.33.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Aktia Bank Abp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Aktia Bank over a given investment horizon. Check out Aktia Bank Correlation, Aktia Bank Volatility and Aktia Bank Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Aktia Bank.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Aktia Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aktia Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aktia Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Aktia Bank 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Aktia Bank's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Aktia Bank.
0.00
10/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Aktia Bank on October 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Aktia Bank Abp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Aktia Bank over 60 days. Aktia Bank is related to or competes with CapMan Oyj, Tokmanni Group, and Oma Saastopankki. Aktia Pankki Oyj provides range of solutions within banking, asset management, and personal insurance in Finland More

Aktia Bank Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Aktia Bank's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Aktia Bank Abp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Aktia Bank Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Aktia Bank's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Aktia Bank's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Aktia Bank historical prices to predict the future Aktia Bank's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.749.279.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.729.259.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.809.339.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.099.249.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aktia Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aktia Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aktia Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Aktia Bank Abp.

Aktia Bank Abp Backtested Returns

Aktia Bank is very steady at the moment. Aktia Bank Abp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0514, which signifies that the company had a 0.0514% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Aktia Bank Abp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Aktia Bank's Downside Deviation of 0.5668, mean deviation of 0.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.023 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0273%. Aktia Bank has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0726, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Aktia Bank's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Aktia Bank is expected to be smaller as well. Aktia Bank Abp right now shows a risk of 0.53%. Please confirm Aktia Bank Abp expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Aktia Bank Abp will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.38  

Poor reverse predictability

Aktia Bank Abp has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Aktia Bank time series from 13th of October 2024 to 12th of November 2024 and 12th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Aktia Bank Abp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Aktia Bank price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.49
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Aktia Bank Abp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Aktia Bank stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Aktia Bank's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Aktia Bank returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Aktia Bank has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Aktia Bank regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Aktia Bank stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Aktia Bank stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Aktia Bank stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Aktia Bank Lagged Returns

When evaluating Aktia Bank's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Aktia Bank stock have on its future price. Aktia Bank autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Aktia Bank autocorrelation shows the relationship between Aktia Bank stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Aktia Bank Abp.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Aktia Stock

Aktia Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aktia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aktia with respect to the benefits of owning Aktia Bank security.