Invibes Advertising (France) Market Value

ALINV Stock   2.66  0.09  3.27%   
Invibes Advertising's market value is the price at which a share of Invibes Advertising trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invibes Advertising NV investors about its performance. Invibes Advertising is selling at 2.66 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 3.27 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 2.66.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invibes Advertising NV and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invibes Advertising over a given investment horizon. Check out Invibes Advertising Correlation, Invibes Advertising Volatility and Invibes Advertising Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invibes Advertising.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invibes Advertising's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invibes Advertising is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invibes Advertising's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invibes Advertising 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invibes Advertising's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invibes Advertising.
0.00
06/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invibes Advertising on June 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invibes Advertising NV or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invibes Advertising over 180 days. Invibes Advertising is related to or competes with Nacon Sa, Trigano SA, Manitou BF, Ossiam Minimum, Ekinops SA, Orapi SA, and Memscap Regpt. More

Invibes Advertising Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invibes Advertising's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invibes Advertising NV upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invibes Advertising Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invibes Advertising's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invibes Advertising's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invibes Advertising historical prices to predict the future Invibes Advertising's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invibes Advertising's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.622.664.70
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.452.494.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.642.684.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.632.742.84
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Invibes Advertising Backtested Returns

Invibes Advertising holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.32, which attests that the entity had a -0.32% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Invibes Advertising exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Invibes Advertising's Standard Deviation of 2.06, market risk adjusted performance of 1.09, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.25) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.65, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Invibes Advertising are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Invibes Advertising is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Invibes Advertising has a negative expected return of -0.65%. Please make sure to check out Invibes Advertising's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and price action indicator , to decide if Invibes Advertising performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Invibes Advertising NV has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invibes Advertising time series from 4th of June 2024 to 2nd of September 2024 and 2nd of September 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invibes Advertising price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Invibes Advertising price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.17

Invibes Advertising lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invibes Advertising stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invibes Advertising's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invibes Advertising returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invibes Advertising has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invibes Advertising regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invibes Advertising stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invibes Advertising stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invibes Advertising stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invibes Advertising Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invibes Advertising's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invibes Advertising stock have on its future price. Invibes Advertising autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invibes Advertising autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invibes Advertising stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invibes Advertising NV.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Invibes Stock Analysis

When running Invibes Advertising's price analysis, check to measure Invibes Advertising's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invibes Advertising is operating at the current time. Most of Invibes Advertising's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invibes Advertising's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invibes Advertising's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invibes Advertising to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.