Alger Mid Cap Fund Market Value

AMGOX Fund  USD 21.80  0.08  0.37%   
Alger Mid's market value is the price at which a share of Alger Mid trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alger Mid Cap investors about its performance. Alger Mid is trading at 21.80 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 0.37% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 21.72.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alger Mid Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alger Mid over a given investment horizon. Check out Alger Mid Correlation, Alger Mid Volatility and Alger Mid Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alger Mid.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alger Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alger Mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alger Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alger Mid 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alger Mid's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alger Mid.
0.00
09/02/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alger Mid on September 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alger Mid Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alger Mid over 90 days. Alger Mid is related to or competes with Alger Smallcap, Alger Capital, Janus Overseas, Allianzgi Nfj, and Emerging Markets. The advisor focuses on mid-sized companies that the advisor believes demonstrate promising growth potential More

Alger Mid Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alger Mid's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alger Mid Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alger Mid Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alger Mid's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alger Mid's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alger Mid historical prices to predict the future Alger Mid's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.8521.8022.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6223.1724.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.9721.9222.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6921.5122.32
Details

Alger Mid Cap Backtested Returns

Alger Mid appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Alger Mid Cap secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.32, which signifies that the fund had a 0.32% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Alger Mid Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please makes use of Alger Mid's mean deviation of 0.7624, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.209 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.05, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Alger Mid returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alger Mid is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.83  

Very good predictability

Alger Mid Cap has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alger Mid time series from 2nd of September 2024 to 17th of October 2024 and 17th of October 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alger Mid Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current Alger Mid price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.81
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.68

Alger Mid Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alger Mid mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alger Mid's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alger Mid returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alger Mid has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alger Mid regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alger Mid mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alger Mid mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alger Mid mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alger Mid Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alger Mid's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alger Mid mutual fund have on its future price. Alger Mid autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alger Mid autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alger Mid mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alger Mid Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger Mid financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger Mid security.
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